Championship · 2020/21
2021-04-10 · 12:30
12.7934.0%
X3.0631.0%
22.7234.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Millwall
LDDWWDWLWW
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Swansea
LWWWLWDWLL
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
1.20
0.60
Conceded
1.30
30%
Over 2.5
40%
30%
BTTS
40%

By half

0.90
1H goals
1.50
0.80
2H goals
1.00
60%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.40N=10
For
4.60N=10
4.50
Against
5.50
8.90
Total
10.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.20
0.60
Goals conceded
1.30
1.70
Total goals
2.50
50%5/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
30%3/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Millwall attack

1.10goals per match
Swansea conceded1.30
Matchup

Swansea attack

1.20goals per match
Millwall conceded0.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.80
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.70
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.40
0.10
2H goals conceded
0.60
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.40N=10
Corners for
4.60N=10
4.50
Corners against
5.50
8.90
Match total
10.10
50%5/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.40N=10
For
1.10N=10
3.10
Match total
1.80
30%3/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10

Fouls

13.20N=10
Committed
10.70N=10
24.90
Match total
23.00

Shots

11.30N=10
Shots
7.40N=10
3.50
On target
2.90
10%
Conversion
16%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches144
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home34.0%36.1%+2.1 pp
Draw31.0%34.7%+3.7 pp
Away34.9%29.2%-5.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.563.2%
Over 2.534.0%
Over 3.516.0%
BTTS46.5%

Historical average

1.081.01

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-118.1%
1-013.9%
0-012.5%
0-110.4%
2-07.6%

Comparable corner averages

4.534.23
Average total8.76

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=144.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.552.1%
Over 9.542.4%
Over 10.529.2%
Over 11.518.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches65
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT33.8%23.5%–46.0% CI
Draw FT46.2%34.6%–58.1% CI
Away FT20.0%12.1%–31.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.20

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal72.3%
2+ goals36.9%
3+ goals7.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home56.9%
Away41.5%