Championship · 2020/21
2021-04-05 · 15:00
12.2142.9%
X3.0930.7%
23.5826.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Stoke
WDLLDWWLWW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Millwall
WDLWDWDLWL
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
1.30
0.60
Conceded
1.20
30%
Over 2.5
40%
30%
BTTS
70%

By half

0.50
1H goals
1.10
1.20
2H goals
1.40
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.60N=10
For
4.20N=10
4.20
Against
4.20
8.80
Total
8.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.30
0.60
Goals conceded
1.20
1.70
Total goals
2.50
50%5/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
0%0/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
30%3/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Stoke attack

1.10goals per match
Millwall conceded1.20
Matchup

Millwall attack

1.30goals per match
Stoke conceded0.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.70
0.10
1H goals conceded
0.40
40%4/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.60
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.60N=10
Corners for
4.20N=10
4.20
Corners against
4.20
8.80
Match total
8.40
70%7/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.60N=10
For
0.90N=10
2.60
Match total
2.10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
0%0/10

Fouls

12.20N=10
Committed
12.30N=10
23.70
Match total
24.10

Shots

10.90N=10
Shots
10.50N=10
3.80
On target
3.30
10%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches126
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home42.9%35.7%-7.2 pp
Draw30.7%42.1%+11.4 pp
Away26.5%22.2%-4.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.568.3%
Over 2.538.1%
Over 3.514.3%
BTTS48.4%

Historical average

1.210.87

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-118.3%
0-017.5%
1-28.7%
2-07.9%
2-17.9%

Comparable corner averages

5.064.10
Average total9.16

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=126.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.554.8%
Over 9.546.8%
Over 10.531.0%
Over 11.524.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches52
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT17.3%9.4%–29.7% CI
Draw FT67.3%53.8%–78.5% CI
Away FT15.4%8.0%–27.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.06

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal57.7%
2+ goals34.6%
3+ goals9.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home44.2%
Away42.3%