Championship · 2020/21
2021-04-05 · 15:00
12.1943.2%
X3.1929.7%
23.4927.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Reading
LWWWLLLWWD
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM
Derby
WLWLWLLLDL
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

1.60
Scored
0.80
1.20
Conceded
1.30
70%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
20%

By half

1.60
1H goals
0.80
1.20
2H goals
1.30
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.20N=10
For
5.60N=10
5.30
Against
3.80
9.50
Total
9.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
0.80
1.20
Goals conceded
1.30
2.80
Total goals
2.10
90%9/10
Over 1.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
BTTS
20%2/10
Matchup

Reading attack

1.60goals per match
Derby conceded1.30
Matchup

Derby attack

0.80goals per match
Reading conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.10
1H goals scored
0.40
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.40
100%10/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.40
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.90
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.20N=10
Corners for
5.60N=10
5.30
Corners against
3.80
9.50
Match total
9.40
70%7/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
80%8/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.10N=10
For
1.60N=10
2.30
Match total
2.90
30%3/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

12.20N=10
Committed
11.80N=10
26.90
Match total
24.70

Shots

12.00N=10
Shots
9.30N=10
4.40
On target
2.30
13%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches196
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home43.2%42.3%-0.9 pp
Draw29.7%35.2%+5.5 pp
Away27.1%22.4%-4.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.564.3%
Over 2.535.7%
Over 3.515.3%
BTTS44.9%

Historical average

1.220.87

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.8%
0-014.8%
1-012.2%
2-09.2%
2-18.7%

Comparable corner averages

5.184.16
Average total9.34

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=196.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.553.6%
Over 9.544.9%
Over 10.533.7%
Over 11.524.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches84
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT32.1%23.1%–42.7% CI
Draw FT48.8%38.4%–59.3% CI
Away FT19.0%12.1%–28.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.05

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal65.5%
2+ goals31.0%
3+ goals7.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home47.6%
Away36.9%