Championship · 2020/21
2021-04-05 · 15:00
13.4127.8%
X3.2329.3%
22.2142.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Luton
WDWLDLDWLW
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Barnsley
LWLLDWWWWW
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
1.40
1.00
Conceded
0.90
30%
Over 2.5
40%
40%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.20
1.20
2H goals
1.10
70%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

6.00N=10
For
5.00N=10
5.00
Against
4.60
11.00
Total
9.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.40
1.00
Goals conceded
0.90
2.20
Total goals
2.30
80%8/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Luton attack

1.20goals per match
Barnsley conceded0.90
Matchup

Barnsley attack

1.40goals per match
Luton conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.70
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.50
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.70
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.40
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.00N=10
Corners for
5.00N=10
5.00
Corners against
4.60
11.00
Match total
9.60
80%8/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

0.80N=10
For
1.80N=10
2.20
Match total
3.10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

12.70N=10
Committed
13.40N=10
25.00
Match total
23.10

Shots

11.70N=10
Shots
11.60N=10
4.10
On target
3.50
10%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches151
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home27.8%25.8%-2.0 pp
Draw29.3%27.8%-1.5 pp
Away42.9%46.4%+3.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.559.6%
Over 2.537.7%
Over 3.521.2%
BTTS38.4%

Historical average

0.891.30

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-115.9%
1-012.6%
0-011.9%
1-110.6%
0-29.9%

Comparable corner averages

4.595.09
Average total9.68

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=151.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.557.6%
Over 9.548.3%
Over 10.539.1%
Over 11.529.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches48
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT16.7%8.7%–29.6% CI
Draw FT47.9%34.5%–61.7% CI
Away FT35.4%23.4%–49.6% CI

Remaining goals

0.94

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal62.5%
2+ goals25.0%
3+ goals6.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home27.1%
Away50.0%