Championship · 2020/21
2021-04-05 · 12:30
13.2928.7%
X3.1230.3%
22.3140.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Middlesbrough
WLLLLWLDWW
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM
Watford
LLWDDWWLWW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
1.30
1.40
Conceded
1.00
50%
Over 2.5
50%
40%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.20
1.10
2H goals
1.10
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

6.30N=10
For
6.30N=10
3.90
Against
4.90
10.20
Total
11.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.30
1.40
Goals conceded
1.00
2.50
Total goals
2.30
70%7/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Middlesbrough attack

1.10goals per match
Watford conceded1.00
Matchup

Watford attack

1.30goals per match
Middlesbrough conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.70
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.50
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.60
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.50
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.30N=10
Corners for
6.30N=10
3.90
Corners against
4.90
10.20
Match total
11.20
80%8/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

0.90N=10
For
2.00N=10
2.30
Match total
3.30
10%1/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

10.90N=10
Committed
13.80N=10
24.80
Match total
26.10

Shots

11.10N=10
Shots
13.30N=10
3.10
On target
4.40
10%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches111
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home28.7%27.9%-0.8 pp
Draw30.3%27.9%-2.4 pp
Away40.9%44.1%+3.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.564.0%
Over 2.541.4%
Over 3.523.4%
BTTS44.1%

Historical average

1.031.27

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-112.6%
1-012.6%
0-210.8%
0-010.8%
1-29.0%

Comparable corner averages

3.984.99
Average total8.97

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=111.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.555.0%
Over 9.546.8%
Over 10.528.8%
Over 11.519.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches36
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT25.0%13.8%–41.1% CI
Draw FT44.4%29.5%–60.4% CI
Away FT30.6%18.0%–46.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.17

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal66.7%
2+ goals36.1%
3+ goals13.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home44.4%
Away41.7%