Championship · 2020/21
2021-04-02 · 20:00
13.1430.2%
X3.0531.1%
22.4638.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Birmingham
LLLLDLLWLW
2W 1D 7L · 0.70 PPM
Swansea
WLWWWLWDWL
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM

Goals

0.70
Scored
1.40
2.10
Conceded
1.20
60%
Over 2.5
40%
50%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.60
1H goals
1.60
1.20
2H goals
1.00
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.00N=10
For
4.50N=10
3.20
Against
5.50
8.20
Total
10.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.70
Goals scored
1.40
2.10
Goals conceded
1.20
2.80
Total goals
2.60
80%8/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Birmingham attack

0.70goals per match
Swansea conceded1.20
Matchup

Swansea attack

1.40goals per match
Birmingham conceded2.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.90
1.20
1H goals conceded
0.70
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
100%10/10
0%0/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
0.30
2H goals scored
0.50
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.50
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
10%1/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.00N=10
Corners for
4.50N=10
3.20
Corners against
5.50
8.20
Match total
10.00
50%5/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
1.30N=10
3.00
Match total
2.10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10

Fouls

15.10N=10
Committed
11.00N=10
26.10
Match total
23.50

Shots

10.30N=10
Shots
7.80N=10
2.60
On target
3.00
7%
Conversion
18%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches73
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home30.2%24.7%-5.6 pp
Draw31.1%32.9%+1.7 pp
Away38.6%42.5%+3.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.561.6%
Over 2.538.4%
Over 3.521.9%
BTTS46.6%

Historical average

1.011.22

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-115.1%
1-012.3%
1-211.0%
0-011.0%
1-111.0%

Comparable corner averages

4.444.95
Average total9.38

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=73.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.557.5%
Over 9.547.9%
Over 10.534.2%
Over 11.526.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches26
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT26.9%13.7%–46.1% CI
Draw FT46.2%28.8%–64.5% CI
Away FT26.9%13.7%–46.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.23

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal69.2%
2+ goals38.5%
3+ goals15.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home50.0%
Away42.3%