Championship · 2020/21
2021-04-02 · 15:00
11.5461.5%
X3.8824.4%
26.7014.1%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Watford
DWWWLWWWWW
8W 1D 1L · 2.50 PPM
Sheffield Weds
LDLWLLLLLW
2W 1D 7L · 0.70 PPM
Goals
2.00
Scored
0.80
0.40
Conceded
2.10
40%
Over 2.5
60%
30%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.10
1H goals
1.00
1.30
2H goals
1.90
70%
Goal in 2H
100%
Corners
5.90N=10
For
3.50N=10
4.30
Against
6.30
10.20
Total
9.80
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.00
Goals scored
0.80
0.40
Goals conceded
2.10
2.40
Total goals
2.90
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Watford attack
2.00goals per matchSheffield Weds conceded2.10Matchup
Sheffield Weds attack
0.80goals per matchWatford conceded0.40Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.10
1H goals scored
0.60
0.00
1H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.90
2H goals scored
0.20
0.40
2H goals conceded
1.70
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.90N=10
Corners for
3.50N=10
4.30
Corners against
6.30
10.20
Match total
9.80
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.10N=10
For
1.50N=10
3.20
Match total
2.70
Over 3.5
Fouls
13.20N=10
Committed
11.80N=10
23.50
Match total
22.40
Shots
11.00N=10
Shots
7.00N=10
4.50
On target
1.80
18%
Conversion
11%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches70
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home61.5%72.9%+11.4 pp
Draw24.4%18.6%-5.8 pp
Away14.1%8.6%-5.6 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.574.3%
Over 2.557.1%
Over 3.530.0%
BTTS48.6%
Historical average
1.99–0.70
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-020.0%
2-115.7%
2-010.0%
3-07.1%
1-17.1%
Comparable corner averages
5.77–3.39
Average total9.16
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=70.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.558.6%
Over 9.547.1%
Over 10.535.7%
Over 11.521.4%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches23
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT78.3%58.1%–90.3% CI
Draw FT17.4%7.0%–37.1% CI
Away FT4.3%0.8%–21.0% CI
Remaining goals
1.39
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal87.0%
2+ goals34.8%
3+ goals17.4%
Who scores in 2H
Home87.0%
Away17.4%