Championship · 2020/21
2021-04-02 · 15:00
12.1643.9%
X3.2029.6%
23.5926.4%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Millwall
DLDDWWDWLW
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Rotherham
LLLWWWLLWW
5W 0D 5L · 1.50 PPM
Goals
1.10
Scored
1.20
0.70
Conceded
1.10
30%
Over 2.5
50%
40%
BTTS
40%
By half
0.90
1H goals
1.00
0.90
2H goals
1.30
60%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
4.10N=10
For
3.30N=10
4.40
Against
5.10
8.50
Total
8.40
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.20
0.70
Goals conceded
1.10
1.80
Total goals
2.30
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Millwall attack
1.10goals per matchRotherham conceded1.10Matchup
Rotherham attack
1.20goals per matchMillwall conceded0.70Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.40
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.70
2H goals scored
0.80
0.20
2H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.10N=10
Corners for
3.30N=10
4.40
Corners against
5.10
8.50
Match total
8.40
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.50N=10
For
1.70N=10
3.50
Match total
2.40
Over 3.5
Fouls
13.30N=10
Committed
13.40N=10
25.90
Match total
24.70
Shots
11.60N=10
Shots
9.80N=10
3.80
On target
2.90
9%
Conversion
12%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches238
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home43.9%42.4%-1.5 pp
Draw29.6%34.5%+4.8 pp
Away26.4%23.1%-3.3 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.563.9%
Over 2.534.5%
Over 3.518.1%
BTTS44.5%
Historical average
1.25–0.91
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-116.4%
0-013.9%
1-013.4%
2-09.2%
0-18.8%
Comparable corner averages
5.31–4.26
Average total9.57
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=238.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.559.2%
Over 9.548.3%
Over 10.536.1%
Over 11.526.5%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches103
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT34.0%25.6%–43.6% CI
Draw FT46.6%37.3%–56.2% CI
Away FT19.4%12.9%–28.1% CI
Remaining goals
1.09
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal68.0%
2+ goals33.0%
3+ goals6.8%
Who scores in 2H
Home50.5%
Away36.9%