Championship · 2020/21
2021-03-20 · 17:30
12.5936.5%
X3.0331.2%
22.9232.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Swansea
DWDWDWWWLW
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM
Cardiff
WLLDWWWWDD
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
1.40
0.60
Conceded
1.00
30%
Over 2.5
50%
40%
BTTS
60%

By half

0.50
1H goals
1.00
1.30
2H goals
1.40
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.10N=10
For
5.30N=10
5.00
Against
5.80
9.10
Total
11.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.40
0.60
Goals conceded
1.00
1.80
Total goals
2.40
60%6/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
40%4/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Swansea attack

1.20goals per match
Cardiff conceded1.00
Matchup

Cardiff attack

1.40goals per match
Swansea conceded0.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.60
0.10
1H goals conceded
0.40
40%4/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.80
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.10N=10
Corners for
5.30N=10
5.00
Corners against
5.80
9.10
Match total
11.10
60%6/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
1.90N=10
3.30
Match total
2.90
40%4/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

11.80N=10
Committed
12.90N=10
25.00
Match total
26.70

Shots

8.90N=10
Shots
9.40N=10
3.60
On target
3.80
13%
Conversion
15%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches198
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home36.5%31.8%-4.7 pp
Draw31.2%35.9%+4.7 pp
Away32.4%32.3%-0.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.565.7%
Over 2.535.9%
Over 3.519.2%
BTTS50.0%

Historical average

1.101.10

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-118.2%
0-112.1%
1-012.1%
0-010.1%
2-17.1%

Comparable corner averages

4.974.20
Average total9.17

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=198.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.554.5%
Over 9.542.9%
Over 10.533.3%
Over 11.524.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches71
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT33.8%23.9%–45.4% CI
Draw FT45.1%34.0%–56.6% CI
Away FT21.1%13.2%–32.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.20

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal71.8%
2+ goals33.8%
3+ goals9.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home56.3%
Away42.3%