Championship · 2020/21
2021-03-20 · 15:00
11.5262.3%
X4.0623.3%
26.5714.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Watford
WDWWWLWWWW
8W 1D 1L · 2.50 PPM
Birmingham
WLDWDLLWDL
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

1.90
Scored
0.90
0.40
Conceded
1.10
30%
Over 2.5
30%
30%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.20
1H goals
0.80
1.10
2H goals
1.20
60%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.50N=10
For
3.50N=10
4.20
Against
5.20
9.70
Total
8.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.90
Goals scored
0.90
0.40
Goals conceded
1.10
2.30
Total goals
2.00
70%7/10
Over 1.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
30%3/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Watford attack

1.90goals per match
Birmingham conceded1.10
Matchup

Birmingham attack

0.90goals per match
Watford conceded0.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.20
1H goals scored
0.50
0.00
1H goals conceded
0.30
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
70%7/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.40
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.80
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.50N=10
Corners for
3.50N=10
4.20
Corners against
5.20
9.70
Match total
8.70
50%5/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.00N=10
For
2.00N=10
3.20
Match total
3.50
50%5/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

13.40N=10
Committed
16.10N=10
23.90
Match total
26.50

Shots

11.00N=10
Shots
9.40N=10
3.90
On target
3.20
17%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches62
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home62.3%75.8%+13.5 pp
Draw23.3%12.9%-10.4 pp
Away14.4%11.3%-3.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.574.2%
Over 2.554.8%
Over 3.532.3%
BTTS46.8%

Historical average

2.030.73

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-022.6%
2-112.9%
2-09.7%
3-18.1%
1-16.5%

Comparable corner averages

5.823.52
Average total9.34

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=62.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.559.7%
Over 9.545.2%
Over 10.532.3%
Over 11.524.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches21
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT76.2%54.9%–89.4% CI
Draw FT14.3%5.0%–34.6% CI
Away FT9.5%2.7%–28.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.52

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal95.2%
2+ goals42.9%
3+ goals14.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home90.5%
Away23.8%