Championship · 2020/21
2021-03-20 · 15:00
12.2542.1%
X3.1729.9%
23.3828.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Stoke
LWDLLDWWLW
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Derby
DWLWLWLLLD
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
0.80
0.80
Conceded
1.20
40%
Over 2.5
50%
40%
BTTS
20%

By half

0.60
1H goals
0.80
1.30
2H goals
1.20
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.80N=10
For
5.60N=10
4.40
Against
4.70
9.20
Total
10.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
0.80
0.80
Goals conceded
1.20
1.90
Total goals
2.00
60%6/10
Over 1.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
0%0/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
BTTS
20%2/10
Matchup

Stoke attack

1.10goals per match
Derby conceded1.20
Matchup

Derby attack

0.80goals per match
Stoke conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.40
0.10
1H goals conceded
0.40
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.40
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.80N=10
Corners for
5.60N=10
4.40
Corners against
4.70
9.20
Match total
10.30
70%7/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
80%8/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
1.60N=10
2.70
Match total
3.00
20%2/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

12.60N=10
Committed
10.90N=10
23.50
Match total
24.20

Shots

10.30N=10
Shots
9.30N=10
3.60
On target
2.30
11%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches187
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home42.1%43.3%+1.2 pp
Draw29.9%34.2%+4.3 pp
Away28.0%22.5%-5.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.565.8%
Over 2.536.4%
Over 3.514.4%
BTTS43.9%

Historical average

1.270.86

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.5%
0-013.4%
1-013.4%
2-010.7%
1-28.0%

Comparable corner averages

4.954.17
Average total9.12

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=187.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.551.3%
Over 9.538.5%
Over 10.528.3%
Over 11.521.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches81
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT33.3%24.0%–44.1% CI
Draw FT44.4%34.1%–55.3% CI
Away FT22.2%14.5%–32.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.21

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal69.1%
2+ goals34.6%
3+ goals16.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home53.1%
Away40.7%