Championship · 2020/21
2021-03-20 · 15:00
12.9332.3%
X3.0131.4%
22.6136.3%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Millwall
DDLDDWWDWL
3W 5D 2L · 1.40 PPM
Middlesbrough
LWLWWDLWWL
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM
Goals
1.10
Scored
1.60
0.80
Conceded
1.30
30%
Over 2.5
80%
50%
BTTS
70%
By half
0.80
1H goals
1.70
1.10
2H goals
1.20
70%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
3.60N=10
For
4.80N=10
3.50
Against
3.10
7.10
Total
7.90
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.60
0.80
Goals conceded
1.30
1.90
Total goals
2.90
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Millwall attack
1.10goals per matchMiddlesbrough conceded1.30Matchup
Middlesbrough attack
1.60goals per matchMillwall conceded0.80Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.90
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.80
2H goals scored
0.70
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
3.60N=10
Corners for
4.80N=10
3.50
Corners against
3.10
7.10
Match total
7.90
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.40N=10
For
1.90N=10
3.60
Match total
3.20
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.70N=10
Committed
12.90N=10
25.90
Match total
27.00
Shots
12.40N=10
Shots
12.00N=10
3.80
On target
3.90
9%
Conversion
13%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches116
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home32.3%37.9%+5.6 pp
Draw31.4%27.6%-3.9 pp
Away36.3%34.5%-1.8 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.561.2%
Over 2.541.4%
Over 3.515.5%
BTTS42.2%
Historical average
1.10–1.02
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-113.8%
0-013.8%
1-011.2%
1-211.2%
1-19.5%
Comparable corner averages
4.41–4.22
Average total8.62
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=116.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.549.1%
Over 9.540.5%
Over 10.525.9%
Over 11.519.8%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches47
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT38.3%25.8%–52.6% CI
Draw FT38.3%25.8%–52.6% CI
Away FT23.4%13.6%–37.2% CI
Remaining goals
1.02
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal66.0%
2+ goals25.5%
3+ goals10.6%
Who scores in 2H
Home44.7%
Away36.2%