Championship · 2020/21
2021-03-16 · 19:00
14.2222.5%
X3.3128.6%
21.9448.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Derby
DWLLWWWWDL
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Brentford
WDWDWWLLLW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM

Goals

0.90
Scored
1.70
0.50
Conceded
1.20
10%
Over 2.5
50%
20%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.00
0.40
2H goals
1.90
40%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

3.80N=10
For
4.30N=10
3.40
Against
4.10
7.20
Total
8.40
Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
1.70
0.50
Goals conceded
1.20
1.40
Total goals
2.90
40%4/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
10%1/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
0%0/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Derby attack

0.90goals per match
Brentford conceded1.20
Matchup

Brentford attack

1.70goals per match
Derby conceded0.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.50
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.50
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.20
2H goals scored
1.20
0.20
2H goals conceded
0.70
40%4/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.80N=10
Corners for
4.30N=10
3.40
Corners against
4.10
7.20
Match total
8.40
40%4/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
10%1/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.10N=10
For
0.90N=10
2.00
Match total
3.40
10%1/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

13.00N=10
Committed
13.10N=10
26.10
Match total
28.30

Shots

10.80N=10
Shots
12.30N=10
4.10
On target
3.90
8%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches17
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home22.5%5.9%-16.6 pp
Draw28.6%41.2%+12.5 pp
Away48.9%52.9%+4.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.576.5%
Over 2.523.5%
Over 3.55.9%
BTTS41.2%

Historical average

0.591.41

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-129.4%
0-217.6%
0-117.6%
0-311.8%
2-25.9%

Comparable corner averages

4.355.00
Average total9.35

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=17.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.552.9%
Over 9.547.1%
Over 10.535.3%
Over 11.517.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches27
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT14.8%5.9%–32.5% CI
Draw FT44.4%27.6%–62.7% CI
Away FT40.7%24.5%–59.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.07

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal74.1%
2+ goals29.6%
3+ goals3.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home33.3%
Away59.3%