Championship · 2020/21
2021-03-16 · 19:00
14.2222.5%
X3.3128.6%
21.9448.9%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Derby
DWLLWWWWDL
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Brentford
WDWDWWLLLW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Goals
0.90
Scored
1.70
0.50
Conceded
1.20
10%
Over 2.5
50%
20%
BTTS
70%
By half
1.00
1H goals
1.00
0.40
2H goals
1.90
40%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
3.80N=10
For
4.30N=10
3.40
Against
4.10
7.20
Total
8.40
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
1.70
0.50
Goals conceded
1.20
1.40
Total goals
2.90
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Derby attack
0.90goals per matchBrentford conceded1.20Matchup
Brentford attack
1.70goals per matchDerby conceded0.50Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.50
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.20
2H goals scored
1.20
0.20
2H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
3.80N=10
Corners for
4.30N=10
3.40
Corners against
4.10
7.20
Match total
8.40
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.10N=10
For
0.90N=10
2.00
Match total
3.40
Over 3.5
Fouls
13.00N=10
Committed
13.10N=10
26.10
Match total
28.30
Shots
10.80N=10
Shots
12.30N=10
4.10
On target
3.90
8%
Conversion
14%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches17
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home22.5%5.9%-16.6 pp
Draw28.6%41.2%+12.5 pp
Away48.9%52.9%+4.1 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.576.5%
Over 2.523.5%
Over 3.55.9%
BTTS41.2%
Historical average
0.59–1.41
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-129.4%
0-217.6%
0-117.6%
0-311.8%
2-25.9%
Comparable corner averages
4.35–5.00
Average total9.35
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=17.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.552.9%
Over 9.547.1%
Over 10.535.3%
Over 11.517.6%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches27
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT14.8%5.9%–32.5% CI
Draw FT44.4%27.6%–62.7% CI
Away FT40.7%24.5%–59.3% CI
Remaining goals
1.07
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal74.1%
2+ goals29.6%
3+ goals3.7%
Who scores in 2H
Home33.3%
Away59.3%