Championship · 2020/21
2021-03-16 · 19:00
12.2542.1%
X3.1330.3%
23.4427.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Cardiff
LWLLLDWWWL
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM
Stoke
DDDDDDLLLL
0W 6D 4L · 0.60 PPM

Goals

1.90
Scored
0.70
1.40
Conceded
1.60
70%
Over 2.5
40%
60%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.10
2.00
2H goals
1.20
100%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

3.50N=10
For
5.40N=10
4.40
Against
5.30
7.90
Total
10.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.90
Goals scored
0.70
1.40
Goals conceded
1.60
3.30
Total goals
2.30
90%9/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Cardiff attack

1.90goals per match
Stoke conceded1.60
Matchup

Stoke attack

0.70goals per match
Cardiff conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.40
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.70
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.20
2H goals scored
0.30
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.90
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.50N=10
Corners for
5.40N=10
4.40
Corners against
5.30
7.90
Match total
10.70
50%5/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
1.50N=10
3.00
Match total
2.40
40%4/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10

Fouls

14.90N=10
Committed
11.70N=10
26.80
Match total
23.40

Shots

11.10N=10
Shots
10.20N=10
4.80
On target
2.20
17%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches281
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home42.1%43.4%+1.3 pp
Draw30.3%35.6%+5.3 pp
Away27.6%21.0%-6.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.562.3%
Over 2.531.7%
Over 3.514.6%
BTTS42.0%

Historical average

1.220.80

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-117.1%
1-014.9%
0-014.2%
2-010.3%
0-18.5%

Comparable corner averages

5.084.14
Average total9.22

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=281.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.555.5%
Over 9.542.3%
Over 10.531.0%
Over 11.521.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches125
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT32.0%24.5%–40.6% CI
Draw FT47.2%38.7%–55.9% CI
Away FT20.8%14.6%–28.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.16

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal68.0%
2+ goals32.8%
3+ goals12.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home50.4%
Away40.8%