Championship · 2020/21
2021-03-13 · 15:00
12.5936.6%
X2.9731.9%
23.0131.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Derby
DDWLLWWWWD
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Millwall
LLWDLWDWDL
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

1.00
Scored
1.10
0.50
Conceded
1.40
10%
Over 2.5
50%
30%
BTTS
70%

By half

0.90
1H goals
1.30
0.60
2H goals
1.20
50%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

3.70N=10
For
4.70N=10
3.50
Against
4.40
7.20
Total
9.10
Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
1.10
0.50
Goals conceded
1.40
1.50
Total goals
2.50
50%5/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
10%1/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
0%0/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
30%3/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Derby attack

1.00goals per match
Millwall conceded1.40
Matchup

Millwall attack

1.10goals per match
Derby conceded0.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.50
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.80
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.30
2H goals scored
0.60
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.60
50%5/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.70N=10
Corners for
4.70N=10
3.50
Corners against
4.40
7.20
Match total
9.10
40%4/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
10%1/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.40N=10
For
1.10N=10
2.30
Match total
2.10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
0%0/10

Fouls

13.30N=10
Committed
12.70N=10
26.30
Match total
24.70

Shots

10.70N=10
Shots
11.00N=10
4.10
On target
3.40
9%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches114
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home36.6%34.2%-2.4 pp
Draw31.9%36.8%+4.9 pp
Away31.5%28.9%-2.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.569.3%
Over 2.540.4%
Over 3.516.7%
BTTS55.3%

Historical average

1.191.08

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-120.2%
1-011.4%
1-210.5%
0-010.5%
0-18.8%

Comparable corner averages

4.804.10
Average total8.89

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=114.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.553.5%
Over 9.542.1%
Over 10.529.8%
Over 11.519.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches36
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT30.6%18.0%–46.9% CI
Draw FT50.0%34.5%–65.5% CI
Away FT19.4%9.8%–35.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.17

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal66.7%
2+ goals33.3%
3+ goals11.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home52.8%
Away41.7%