Championship · 2020/21
2021-03-13 · 15:00
13.0531.1%
X3.0730.9%
22.4938.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Cardiff
WLWLLLDWWW
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM
Watford
DWLLWDDWWL
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM

Goals

2.10
Scored
0.80
1.20
Conceded
0.80
70%
Over 2.5
30%
50%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.20
1H goals
0.70
2.10
2H goals
0.90
100%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

3.70N=10
For
6.30N=10
4.20
Against
5.20
7.90
Total
11.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.10
Goals scored
0.80
1.20
Goals conceded
0.80
3.30
Total goals
1.60
90%9/10
Over 1.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
50%5/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Cardiff attack

2.10goals per match
Watford conceded0.80
Matchup

Watford attack

0.80goals per match
Cardiff conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.30
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.40
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
30%3/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.40
2H goals scored
0.50
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.40
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.70N=10
Corners for
6.30N=10
4.20
Corners against
5.20
7.90
Match total
11.50
50%5/10
Over 8.5
100%10/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
90%9/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
80%8/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
1.90N=10
2.60
Match total
3.40
30%3/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

14.90N=10
Committed
13.20N=10
26.50
Match total
25.30

Shots

11.10N=10
Shots
11.30N=10
5.10
On target
3.30
19%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches79
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home31.1%32.9%+1.8 pp
Draw30.9%22.8%-8.1 pp
Away38.1%44.3%+6.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.572.2%
Over 2.545.6%
Over 3.527.8%
BTTS50.6%

Historical average

1.301.38

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-113.9%
0-211.4%
1-010.1%
1-110.1%
1-28.9%

Comparable corner averages

4.115.32
Average total9.43

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=79.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.559.5%
Over 9.553.2%
Over 10.532.9%
Over 11.525.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches22
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT31.8%16.4%–52.7% CI
Draw FT27.3%13.2%–48.2% CI
Away FT40.9%23.3%–61.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.68

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal86.4%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals22.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home59.1%
Away54.5%