Championship · 2020/21
2021-03-13 · 12:15
13.3428.4%
X3.1630.0%
22.2841.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Luton
DWWDWLDLDW
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Swansea
WLWLWWWLWD
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
1.50
1.10
Conceded
1.10
40%
Over 2.5
40%
60%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.50
1.30
2H goals
1.10
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

6.00N=10
For
5.00N=10
5.50
Against
5.20
11.50
Total
10.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.50
1.10
Goals conceded
1.10
2.50
Total goals
2.60
90%9/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Luton attack

1.40goals per match
Swansea conceded1.10
Matchup

Swansea attack

1.50goals per match
Luton conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.90
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.60
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
100%10/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.60
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.50
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.00N=10
Corners for
5.00N=10
5.50
Corners against
5.20
11.50
Match total
10.20
80%8/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

0.80N=10
For
1.30N=10
2.10
Match total
2.60
10%1/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

12.00N=10
Committed
11.50N=10
24.10
Match total
25.00

Shots

11.10N=10
Shots
8.60N=10
4.20
On target
3.20
13%
Conversion
17%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches116
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home28.4%25.9%-2.5 pp
Draw30.0%32.8%+2.7 pp
Away41.6%41.4%-0.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.563.8%
Over 2.543.1%
Over 3.526.7%
BTTS47.4%

Historical average

1.051.31

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-012.9%
1-012.1%
0-111.2%
1-111.2%
1-28.6%

Comparable corner averages

4.285.15
Average total9.43

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=116.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.559.5%
Over 9.549.1%
Over 10.534.5%
Over 11.525.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches33
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT12.1%4.8%–27.3% CI
Draw FT54.5%38.0%–70.2% CI
Away FT33.3%19.8%–50.4% CI

Remaining goals

0.85

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal54.5%
2+ goals21.2%
3+ goals3.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home24.2%
Away42.4%