Championship · 2020/21
2021-03-10 · 19:00
11.9049.8%
X3.3528.2%
24.3022.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Barnsley
LWWWLDWWWW
7W 1D 2L · 2.20 PPM
Derby
WDWLWLWLLL
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
0.90
1.30
Conceded
1.20
70%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
20%

By half

1.10
1H goals
0.80
1.70
2H goals
1.30
100%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.40N=10
For
5.40N=10
3.90
Against
4.80
9.30
Total
10.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
0.90
1.30
Goals conceded
1.20
2.80
Total goals
2.10
90%9/10
Over 1.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
BTTS
20%2/10
Matchup

Barnsley attack

1.50goals per match
Derby conceded1.20
Matchup

Derby attack

0.90goals per match
Barnsley conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.40
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.40
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.50
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.80
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.40N=10
Corners for
5.40N=10
3.90
Corners against
4.80
9.30
Match total
10.20
60%6/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.40N=10
For
2.10N=10
2.70
Match total
3.30
30%3/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

13.70N=10
Committed
11.70N=10
24.20
Match total
25.00

Shots

12.60N=10
Shots
9.80N=10
4.90
On target
2.40
12%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches140
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home49.8%52.9%+3.1 pp
Draw28.2%27.9%-0.4 pp
Away22.0%19.3%-2.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.565.7%
Over 2.542.1%
Over 3.520.7%
BTTS43.6%

Historical average

1.440.88

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-015.7%
2-112.1%
0-011.4%
2-010.7%
1-110.0%

Comparable corner averages

5.334.09
Average total9.41

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=140.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.1%
Over 9.541.4%
Over 10.534.3%
Over 11.523.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches49
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT36.7%24.7%–50.7% CI
Draw FT40.8%28.2%–54.8% CI
Away FT22.4%13.0%–35.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.16

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal67.3%
2+ goals38.8%
3+ goals10.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home51.0%
Away34.7%