Championship · 2020/21
2021-03-06 · 15:00
11.4266.7%
X4.4821.1%
27.7712.2%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Norwich
WWWDWWDWWW
8W 2D 0L · 2.60 PPM
Luton
LDLLWLLWLW
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM
Goals
1.60
Scored
0.40
0.40
Conceded
1.00
30%
Over 2.5
20%
40%
BTTS
10%
By half
0.70
1H goals
0.60
1.30
2H goals
0.80
70%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
5.40N=10
For
4.40N=10
5.00
Against
4.90
10.40
Total
9.30
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
0.40
0.40
Goals conceded
1.00
2.00
Total goals
1.40
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Norwich attack
1.60goals per matchLuton conceded1.00Matchup
Luton attack
0.40goals per matchNorwich conceded0.40Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.10
0.00
1H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.90
2H goals scored
0.30
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.40N=10
Corners for
4.40N=10
5.00
Corners against
4.90
10.40
Match total
9.30
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.10N=10
For
1.40N=10
3.20
Match total
2.60
Over 3.5
Fouls
9.40N=10
Committed
14.00N=10
22.80
Match total
27.30
Shots
15.40N=10
Shots
8.40N=10
5.40
On target
2.50
10%
Conversion
5%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches46
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home66.7%76.1%+9.4 pp
Draw21.1%17.4%-3.7 pp
Away12.2%6.5%-5.7 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.576.1%
Over 2.545.7%
Over 3.519.6%
BTTS37.0%
Historical average
1.96–0.54
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-021.7%
2-117.4%
1-015.2%
3-08.7%
2-26.5%
Comparable corner averages
6.65–3.33
Average total9.98
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=46.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.578.3%
Over 9.556.5%
Over 10.539.1%
Over 11.526.1%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches13
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT84.6%57.8%–95.7% CI
Draw FT15.4%4.3%–42.2% CI
Away FT0.0%0.0%–22.8% CI
Remaining goals
1.54
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal84.6%
2+ goals46.2%
3+ goals23.1%
Who scores in 2H
Home84.6%
Away15.4%