Championship · 2020/21
2021-03-06 · 15:00
12.5836.7%
X3.0331.2%
22.9532.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Coventry
WDDDWLDLWL
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Derby
LWDWLWLWLL
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

0.90
Scored
0.90
0.70
Conceded
1.40
30%
Over 2.5
60%
30%
BTTS
20%

By half

0.90
1H goals
0.80
0.70
2H goals
1.50
50%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.30N=10
For
5.20N=10
5.40
Against
4.70
9.70
Total
9.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
0.90
0.70
Goals conceded
1.40
1.60
Total goals
2.30
60%6/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
30%3/10
BTTS
20%2/10
Matchup

Coventry attack

0.90goals per match
Derby conceded1.40
Matchup

Derby attack

0.90goals per match
Coventry conceded0.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.40
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.40
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.40
2H goals scored
0.50
0.30
2H goals conceded
1.00
50%5/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
10%1/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.30N=10
Corners for
5.20N=10
5.40
Corners against
4.70
9.70
Match total
9.90
80%8/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.10N=10
For
2.10N=10
3.20
Match total
3.10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

13.20N=10
Committed
11.90N=10
27.20
Match total
25.10

Shots

10.00N=10
Shots
10.10N=10
3.80
On target
2.50
9%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches159
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home36.7%28.9%-7.8 pp
Draw31.2%37.1%+5.9 pp
Away32.1%34.0%+1.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.567.3%
Over 2.542.8%
Over 3.520.1%
BTTS55.3%

Historical average

1.101.18

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-117.0%
0-112.6%
0-011.3%
2-19.4%
1-28.8%

Comparable corner averages

4.864.18
Average total9.03

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=159.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.552.8%
Over 9.542.8%
Over 10.532.1%
Over 11.522.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches56
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT30.4%19.9%–43.3% CI
Draw FT48.2%35.7%–61.0% CI
Away FT21.4%12.7%–33.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.11

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal67.9%
2+ goals32.1%
3+ goals8.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home51.8%
Away41.1%