Championship · 2020/21
2021-03-06 · 15:00
12.5836.7%
X3.0331.2%
22.9532.1%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Coventry
WDDDWLDLWL
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Derby
LWDWLWLWLL
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM
Goals
0.90
Scored
0.90
0.70
Conceded
1.40
30%
Over 2.5
60%
30%
BTTS
20%
By half
0.90
1H goals
0.80
0.70
2H goals
1.50
50%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
4.30N=10
For
5.20N=10
5.40
Against
4.70
9.70
Total
9.90
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongOver 8.5 corners
8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
0.90
0.70
Goals conceded
1.40
1.60
Total goals
2.30
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Coventry attack
0.90goals per matchDerby conceded1.40Matchup
Derby attack
0.90goals per matchCoventry conceded0.70Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.40
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.40
2H goals scored
0.50
0.30
2H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.30N=10
Corners for
5.20N=10
5.40
Corners against
4.70
9.70
Match total
9.90
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.10N=10
For
2.10N=10
3.20
Match total
3.10
Over 3.5
Fouls
13.20N=10
Committed
11.90N=10
27.20
Match total
25.10
Shots
10.00N=10
Shots
10.10N=10
3.80
On target
2.50
9%
Conversion
9%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches159
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home36.7%28.9%-7.8 pp
Draw31.2%37.1%+5.9 pp
Away32.1%34.0%+1.9 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.567.3%
Over 2.542.8%
Over 3.520.1%
BTTS55.3%
Historical average
1.10–1.18
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-117.0%
0-112.6%
0-011.3%
2-19.4%
1-28.8%
Comparable corner averages
4.86–4.18
Average total9.03
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=159.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.552.8%
Over 9.542.8%
Over 10.532.1%
Over 11.522.0%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches56
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT30.4%19.9%–43.3% CI
Draw FT48.2%35.7%–61.0% CI
Away FT21.4%12.7%–33.8% CI
Remaining goals
1.11
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal67.9%
2+ goals32.1%
3+ goals8.9%
Who scores in 2H
Home51.8%
Away41.1%