Championship · 2020/21
2021-03-03 · 20:15
12.5537.1%
X3.0131.4%
23.0131.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Stoke
LWLWDLLDWW
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Swansea
DLWLWLWWWL
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
1.30
0.90
Conceded
1.10
40%
Over 2.5
30%
40%
BTTS
40%

By half

0.70
1H goals
1.20
1.30
2H goals
1.20
70%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.60N=10
For
6.30N=10
4.30
Against
4.80
8.90
Total
11.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.30
0.90
Goals conceded
1.10
2.00
Total goals
2.40
50%5/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Stoke attack

1.10goals per match
Swansea conceded1.10
Matchup

Swansea attack

1.30goals per match
Stoke conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.70
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.50
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.60
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.60
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.60N=10
Corners for
6.30N=10
4.30
Corners against
4.80
8.90
Match total
11.10
60%6/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
1.60N=10
3.00
Match total
3.20
30%3/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

13.30N=10
Committed
13.40N=10
25.20
Match total
27.40

Shots

11.10N=10
Shots
9.80N=10
3.80
On target
3.40
10%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches112
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home37.1%32.1%-5.0 pp
Draw31.4%35.7%+4.3 pp
Away31.4%32.1%+0.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.568.8%
Over 2.542.0%
Over 3.517.0%
BTTS57.1%

Historical average

1.131.10

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-117.9%
0-111.6%
2-111.6%
0-011.6%
1-210.7%

Comparable corner averages

4.824.29
Average total9.12

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=112.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.552.7%
Over 9.543.8%
Over 10.533.0%
Over 11.521.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches36
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT25.0%13.8%–41.1% CI
Draw FT50.0%34.5%–65.5% CI
Away FT25.0%13.8%–41.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.14

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal63.9%
2+ goals33.3%
3+ goals13.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home47.2%
Away44.4%