Championship · 2020/21
2021-03-02 · 19:45
11.9848.0%
X3.2729.0%
24.1323.0%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Nott'm Forest
LDLWDWLDDW
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Luton
LLDLLWLLWL
2W 1D 7L · 0.70 PPM
Goals
0.80
Scored
0.30
0.70
Conceded
1.40
30%
Over 2.5
30%
30%
BTTS
10%
By half
0.60
1H goals
0.80
0.90
2H goals
0.90
40%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
4.80N=10
For
4.30N=10
5.40
Against
5.20
10.20
Total
9.50
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongOver 8.5 corners
8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
0.30
0.70
Goals conceded
1.40
1.50
Total goals
1.70
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Nott'm Forest attack
0.80goals per matchLuton conceded1.40Matchup
Luton attack
0.30goals per matchNott'm Forest conceded0.70Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.10
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.50
2H goals scored
0.20
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.80N=10
Corners for
4.30N=10
5.40
Corners against
5.20
10.20
Match total
9.50
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.10N=10
For
1.30N=10
3.70
Match total
2.60
Over 3.5
Fouls
14.20N=10
Committed
13.90N=10
27.40
Match total
27.60
Shots
11.50N=10
Shots
8.00N=10
3.00
On target
2.20
7%
Conversion
4%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches170
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home48.0%48.8%+0.9 pp
Draw29.0%31.2%+2.1 pp
Away23.0%20.0%-3.0 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.564.7%
Over 2.541.2%
Over 3.521.8%
BTTS45.9%
Historical average
1.39–0.88
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-014.7%
1-113.5%
0-012.4%
2-111.2%
0-18.2%
Comparable corner averages
5.14–4.10
Average total9.24
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=170.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.554.7%
Over 9.540.6%
Over 10.531.2%
Over 11.525.3%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches67
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT38.8%28.0%–50.8% CI
Draw FT38.8%28.0%–50.8% CI
Away FT22.4%14.1%–33.7% CI
Remaining goals
1.18
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal68.7%
2+ goals32.8%
3+ goals11.9%
Who scores in 2H
Home50.7%
Away35.8%