Championship · 2020/21
2021-03-02 · 19:00
12.1643.9%
X3.1530.1%
23.6625.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Cardiff
WWLWLLLDWW
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM
Derby
LLWDWLWLWL
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

2.10
Scored
0.90
1.20
Conceded
1.10
70%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
20%

By half

1.30
1H goals
0.70
2.00
2H goals
1.30
100%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.20N=10
For
5.30N=10
3.70
Against
4.20
7.90
Total
9.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.10
Goals scored
0.90
1.20
Goals conceded
1.10
3.30
Total goals
2.00
90%9/10
Over 1.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
50%5/10
BTTS
20%2/10
Matchup

Cardiff attack

2.10goals per match
Derby conceded1.10
Matchup

Derby attack

0.90goals per match
Cardiff conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.40
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.30
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
40%4/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.30
2H goals scored
0.50
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.80
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.20N=10
Corners for
5.30N=10
3.70
Corners against
4.20
7.90
Match total
9.50
50%5/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
2.20N=10
2.70
Match total
3.30
30%3/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

15.20N=10
Committed
12.50N=10
27.00
Match total
25.50

Shots

11.70N=10
Shots
10.70N=10
4.60
On target
2.60
18%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches219
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home43.9%42.5%-1.5 pp
Draw30.1%34.7%+4.6 pp
Away25.9%22.8%-3.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.565.3%
Over 2.533.8%
Over 3.516.9%
BTTS44.7%

Historical average

1.260.90

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-116.4%
0-014.6%
1-011.9%
2-011.9%
0-18.2%

Comparable corner averages

5.264.39
Average total9.64

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=219.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.560.3%
Over 9.548.4%
Over 10.536.5%
Over 11.528.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches98
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT32.7%24.2%–42.4% CI
Draw FT46.9%37.4%–56.7% CI
Away FT20.4%13.6%–29.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.10

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal67.3%
2+ goals33.7%
3+ goals8.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home50.0%
Away38.8%