Championship · 2020/21
2021-02-27 · 15:00
11.8351.7%
X3.4927.1%
24.4721.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Brentford
WDDWWWWWLW
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM
Stoke
DWDDDDDDLL
1W 7D 2L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

2.30
Scored
0.70
1.10
Conceded
1.10
70%
Over 2.5
20%
60%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.80
1H goals
0.80
1.60
2H goals
1.00
80%
Goal in 2H
50%

Corners

5.50N=10
For
5.60N=10
4.30
Against
4.90
9.80
Total
10.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.30
Goals scored
0.70
1.10
Goals conceded
1.10
3.40
Total goals
1.80
80%8/10
Over 1.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Brentford attack

2.30goals per match
Stoke conceded1.10
Matchup

Stoke attack

0.70goals per match
Brentford conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.10
1H goals scored
0.30
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.50
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.20
2H goals scored
0.40
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
50%5/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.50N=10
Corners for
5.60N=10
4.30
Corners against
4.90
9.80
Match total
10.50
60%6/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.40N=10
For
1.70N=10
3.00
Match total
3.10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

11.50N=10
Committed
10.70N=10
24.00
Match total
22.90

Shots

14.80N=10
Shots
9.80N=10
5.40
On target
2.10
16%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches94
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home51.7%57.4%+5.7 pp
Draw27.1%27.7%+0.5 pp
Away21.2%14.9%-6.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.571.3%
Over 2.546.8%
Over 3.517.0%
BTTS46.8%

Historical average

1.520.79

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-119.1%
0-014.9%
2-011.7%
1-010.6%
1-19.6%

Comparable corner averages

5.703.87
Average total9.57

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=94.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.559.6%
Over 9.550.0%
Over 10.536.2%
Over 11.525.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches32
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT34.4%20.4%–51.7% CI
Draw FT53.1%36.4%–69.1% CI
Away FT12.5%5.0%–28.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.03

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal56.3%
2+ goals34.4%
3+ goals12.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home46.9%
Away28.1%