Championship · 2020/21
2021-02-23 · 19:45
12.8433.4%
X2.9931.7%
22.7135.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Luton
LDDWWDWLDL
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Millwall
DDLLWDLWDW
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
0.90
1.20
Conceded
1.10
40%
Over 2.5
40%
50%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.10
1.10
2H goals
0.90
80%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

6.10N=10
For
5.00N=10
5.40
Against
4.10
11.50
Total
9.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
0.90
1.20
Goals conceded
1.10
2.30
Total goals
2.00
90%9/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
50%5/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Luton attack

1.10goals per match
Millwall conceded1.10
Matchup

Millwall attack

0.90goals per match
Luton conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.40
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.70
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.40
2H goals scored
0.50
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.40
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.10N=10
Corners for
5.00N=10
5.40
Corners against
4.10
11.50
Match total
9.10
90%9/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

0.60N=10
For
1.00N=10
2.10
Match total
2.10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
0%0/10

Fouls

12.00N=10
Committed
11.60N=10
24.10
Match total
23.40

Shots

11.20N=10
Shots
11.00N=10
4.10
On target
2.90
10%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches117
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home33.4%29.9%-3.4 pp
Draw31.7%35.9%+4.2 pp
Away35.0%34.2%-0.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.567.5%
Over 2.539.3%
Over 3.519.7%
BTTS48.7%

Historical average

1.061.16

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-117.1%
0-012.0%
1-010.3%
0-110.3%
1-29.4%

Comparable corner averages

4.244.25
Average total8.49

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=117.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.553.0%
Over 9.541.0%
Over 10.524.8%
Over 11.513.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches51
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT29.4%18.7%–43.0% CI
Draw FT41.2%28.8%–54.8% CI
Away FT29.4%18.7%–43.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.24

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal72.5%
2+ goals33.3%
3+ goals11.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home51.0%
Away45.1%