Championship · 2020/21
2021-02-20 · 15:00
12.2641.8%
X3.0930.6%
23.4327.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Stoke
WLWLWDLLDW
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Luton
DLLDLLWLLW
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
0.40
1.20
Conceded
1.20
40%
Over 2.5
20%
50%
BTTS
20%

By half

1.10
1H goals
0.80
1.30
2H goals
0.80
70%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.20N=10
For
4.30N=10
4.30
Against
4.80
8.50
Total
9.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
0.40
1.20
Goals conceded
1.20
2.40
Total goals
1.60
50%5/10
Over 1.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
20%2/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
50%5/10
BTTS
20%2/10
Matchup

Stoke attack

1.20goals per match
Luton conceded1.20
Matchup

Luton attack

0.40goals per match
Stoke conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.20
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.60
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.20
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.60
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.20N=10
Corners for
4.30N=10
4.30
Corners against
4.80
8.50
Match total
9.10
50%5/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
1.60N=10
3.00
Match total
2.90
30%3/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10

Fouls

13.60N=10
Committed
14.10N=10
25.80
Match total
27.60

Shots

10.70N=10
Shots
7.90N=10
3.70
On target
2.30
11%
Conversion
5%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches187
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home41.8%40.6%-1.2 pp
Draw30.6%36.9%+6.3 pp
Away27.6%22.5%-5.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.566.3%
Over 2.536.4%
Over 3.512.3%
BTTS45.5%

Historical average

1.210.87

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-117.1%
0-013.4%
1-011.8%
2-09.6%
0-18.6%

Comparable corner averages

4.833.98
Average total8.81

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=187.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.548.1%
Over 9.536.9%
Over 10.526.7%
Over 11.519.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches82
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT29.3%20.5%–39.9% CI
Draw FT47.6%37.1%–58.2% CI
Away FT23.2%15.4%–33.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.35

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal69.5%
2+ goals40.2%
3+ goals19.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home51.2%
Away46.3%