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Championship · 2020/21
2021-02-19 · 19:45

Watford

vs

Derby

11.8651.0%
X3.3328.5%
24.6320.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
51020Season
Context
Home / AwayOverall
Past seasons
ExcludeInclude
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Watford
WWLWDWWWLW
7W 1D 2L · 2.20 PPM
Derby
DLLWDWLWLW
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM

Goals

2.10
Scored
0.90
0.70
Conceded
1.00
40%
Over 2.5
40%
40%
BTTS
20%

By half

1.00
1H goals
0.60
1.80
2H goals
1.30
60%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.40N=10
For
4.40N=10
3.00
Against
4.30
9.40
Total
8.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.10
Goals scored
0.90
0.70
Goals conceded
1.00
2.80
Total goals
1.90
70%7/10
Over 1.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
40%4/10
BTTS
20%2/10
Matchup

Watford attack

2.10goals per match
Derby conceded1.00
Matchup

Derby attack

0.90goals per match
Watford conceded0.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.50
0.10
1H goals conceded
0.10
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
40%4/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.20
2H goals scored
0.40
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.90
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.40N=10
Corners for
4.40N=10
3.00
Corners against
4.30
9.40
Match total
8.70
50%5/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
2.10N=10
3.20
Match total
3.20
40%4/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

12.90N=10
Committed
12.90N=10
24.20
Match total
26.00

Shots

12.90N=10
Shots
11.30N=10
4.50
On target
3.00
16%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
AllTop 5CountryLeague
History
3y5y10yAll
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches103
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home51.0%44.7%-6.4 pp
Draw28.5%32.0%+3.5 pp
Away20.5%23.3%+2.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.561.2%
Over 2.539.8%
Over 3.525.2%
BTTS40.8%

Historical average

1.34–0.97

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-015.5%
0-014.6%
1-19.7%
0-18.7%
2-08.7%

Comparable corner averages

5.49–3.89
Average total9.38

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=103.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.1%
Over 9.542.7%
Over 10.529.1%
Over 11.517.5%
Half-time score
0-01-00-11-12-00-2Altro
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches40
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT35.0%22.1%–50.5% CI
Draw FT45.0%30.7%–60.2% CI
Away FT20.0%10.5%–34.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.05

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal62.5%
2+ goals30.0%
3+ goals10.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home45.0%
Away32.5%
Related pages

Open the teams, competition or a direct side-by-side comparison without returning to search.

Home teamWatfordForm, scoring, venue splits and recent matches.Away teamDerbyForm, scoring, venue splits and recent matches.CompareWatford vs DerbyCompare both teams across the same current-season window.CompetitionChampionshipLeague results, averages, matchday data and coverage.RankingsChampionship team rankingsSee how teams in this competition rank across StatsXI metrics.