Championship · 2020/21
2021-02-16 · 20:15
12.8233.6%
X3.1330.3%
22.6236.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Luton
DLDDWWDWLD
3W 5D 2L · 1.40 PPM
Cardiff
LDLWWLLDWW
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
1.30
1.10
Conceded
1.30
40%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.10
1.00
2H goals
1.50
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.70N=10
For
5.80N=10
5.10
Against
4.70
10.80
Total
10.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.30
1.10
Goals conceded
1.30
2.30
Total goals
2.60
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Luton attack

1.20goals per match
Cardiff conceded1.30
Matchup

Cardiff attack

1.30goals per match
Luton conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.40
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.40
2H goals scored
0.90
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.70N=10
Corners for
5.80N=10
5.10
Corners against
4.70
10.80
Match total
10.50
80%8/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

0.90N=10
For
1.60N=10
2.30
Match total
3.10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

12.20N=10
Committed
13.10N=10
24.50
Match total
26.60

Shots

11.00N=10
Shots
11.30N=10
4.00
On target
3.80
11%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches183
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home33.6%34.4%+0.8 pp
Draw30.3%36.1%+5.8 pp
Away36.2%29.5%-6.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.558.5%
Over 2.535.5%
Over 3.516.9%
BTTS43.2%

Historical average

1.040.99

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-015.8%
1-113.7%
0-113.1%
1-012.6%
2-18.7%

Comparable corner averages

4.854.58
Average total9.43

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=183.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.557.9%
Over 9.550.3%
Over 10.535.0%
Over 11.526.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches78
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT32.1%22.7%–43.0% CI
Draw FT51.3%40.4%–62.1% CI
Away FT16.7%10.0%–26.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.06

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal62.8%
2+ goals30.8%
3+ goals11.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home47.4%
Away38.5%