Championship · 2020/21
2021-02-16 · 19:00
13.9024.3%
X3.1530.0%
22.0745.7%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Preston
LWLDWWWLDL
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Watford
LDDDWLLWDD
2W 5D 3L · 1.10 PPM
Goals
1.10
Scored
0.50
1.00
Conceded
0.70
50%
Over 2.5
20%
30%
BTTS
30%
By half
0.70
1H goals
0.60
1.40
2H goals
0.60
80%
Goal in 2H
40%
Corners
4.50N=10
For
6.30N=10
5.40
Against
5.00
9.90
Total
11.30
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
0.50
1.00
Goals conceded
0.70
2.10
Total goals
1.20
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Preston attack
1.10goals per matchWatford conceded0.70Matchup
Watford attack
0.50goals per matchPreston conceded1.00Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.20
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.70
2H goals scored
0.30
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.30
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.50N=10
Corners for
6.30N=10
5.40
Corners against
5.00
9.90
Match total
11.30
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.20N=10
For
1.70N=10
2.40
Match total
3.10
Over 3.5
Fouls
13.20N=10
Committed
12.50N=10
24.50
Match total
24.40
Shots
11.10N=10
Shots
9.90N=10
3.50
On target
2.80
10%
Conversion
5%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches16
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home24.3%18.8%-5.5 pp
Draw30.0%25.0%-5.0 pp
Away45.7%56.3%+10.5 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.556.3%
Over 2.518.8%
Over 3.50.0%
BTTS37.5%
Historical average
0.69–1.00
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-131.3%
1-118.8%
1-218.8%
2-012.5%
0-06.3%
Comparable corner averages
3.38–4.13
Average total7.50
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=16.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.525.0%
Over 9.525.0%
Over 10.518.8%
Over 11.56.3%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT40.0%16.8%–68.7% CI
Draw FT20.0%5.7%–51.0% CI
Away FT40.0%16.8%–68.7% CI
Remaining goals
1.40
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal90.0%
2+ goals40.0%
3+ goals10.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home50.0%
Away50.0%