Championship · 2020/21
2021-02-13 · 15:00
12.6136.2%
X3.0630.8%
22.8633.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Birmingham
LLDLLLLLLD
0W 2D 8L · 0.20 PPM
Luton
WDLLDLLWLL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

0.50
Scored
0.40
2.00
Conceded
1.20
50%
Over 2.5
20%
50%
BTTS
20%

By half

1.20
1H goals
0.70
1.30
2H goals
0.90
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.80N=10
For
4.30N=10
4.30
Against
4.90
9.10
Total
9.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.50
Goals scored
0.40
2.00
Goals conceded
1.20
2.50
Total goals
1.60
70%7/10
Over 1.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
20%2/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
50%5/10
BTTS
20%2/10
Matchup

Birmingham attack

0.50goals per match
Luton conceded1.20
Matchup

Luton attack

0.40goals per match
Birmingham conceded2.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.10
0.90
1H goals conceded
0.60
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.20
2H goals scored
0.30
1.10
2H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.80N=10
Corners for
4.30N=10
4.30
Corners against
4.90
9.10
Match total
9.20
70%7/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.40N=10
For
1.60N=10
2.30
Match total
2.80
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10

Fouls

14.60N=10
Committed
14.30N=10
24.00
Match total
27.00

Shots

10.40N=10
Shots
8.00N=10
2.10
On target
2.40
5%
Conversion
5%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches155
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home36.2%33.5%-2.6 pp
Draw30.8%34.8%+4.0 pp
Away33.0%31.6%-1.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.564.5%
Over 2.542.6%
Over 3.519.4%
BTTS53.5%

Historical average

1.141.12

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-116.1%
1-012.3%
0-011.6%
0-111.6%
2-110.3%

Comparable corner averages

4.754.30
Average total9.05

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=155.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.556.8%
Over 9.545.8%
Over 10.534.8%
Over 11.521.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches59
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT33.9%23.1%–46.6% CI
Draw FT44.1%32.2%–56.7% CI
Away FT22.0%13.4%–34.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.17

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal69.5%
2+ goals30.5%
3+ goals11.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home55.9%
Away39.0%