Championship · 2019/20
2020-07-22 · 19:30
13.7825.0%
X3.5726.4%
21.9448.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Reading
DLDLLWDLDL
1W 4D 5L · 0.70 PPM
Swansea
DLDDLDWDWD
2W 6D 2L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

0.70
Scored
1.60
1.40
Conceded
1.40
40%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
60%

By half

0.80
1H goals
1.60
1.30
2H goals
1.40
90%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.40N=10
For
4.70N=10
5.00
Against
6.00
10.40
Total
10.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.70
Goals scored
1.60
1.40
Goals conceded
1.40
2.10
Total goals
3.00
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
0%0/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Reading attack

0.70goals per match
Swansea conceded1.40
Matchup

Swansea attack

1.60goals per match
Reading conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
1.00
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.60
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.30
2H goals scored
0.60
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.80
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.40N=10
Corners for
4.70N=10
5.00
Corners against
6.00
10.40
Match total
10.70
70%7/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.50N=10
For
2.60N=10
3.30
Match total
4.40
60%6/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

10.90N=10
Committed
10.60N=10
24.30
Match total
24.20

Shots

10.90N=10
Shots
10.70N=10
2.90
On target
3.10
6%
Conversion
15%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches52
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home25.0%19.2%-5.7 pp
Draw26.4%32.7%+6.3 pp
Away48.6%48.1%-0.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.575.0%
Over 2.550.0%
Over 3.532.7%
BTTS55.8%

Historical average

1.041.63

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.5%
1-211.5%
0-09.6%
0-19.6%
2-27.7%

Comparable corner averages

4.836.27
Average total11.10

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=52.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.576.9%
Over 9.563.5%
Over 10.553.8%
Over 11.538.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches22
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT13.6%4.7%–33.3% CI
Draw FT45.5%26.9%–65.3% CI
Away FT40.9%23.3%–61.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.45

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal77.3%
2+ goals40.9%
3+ goals13.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home45.5%
Away63.6%