Championship · 2019/20
2020-07-22 · 19:30
12.1643.7%
X3.2628.9%
23.4427.4%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Nott'm Forest
WDWLDLWWLD
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Stoke
WWLLDDDLLD
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM
Goals
1.20
Scored
1.10
1.00
Conceded
2.10
40%
Over 2.5
50%
40%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.20
1H goals
1.30
1.00
2H goals
1.90
60%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
6.40N=10
For
4.10N=10
5.40
Against
5.00
11.80
Total
9.10
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.10
1.00
Goals conceded
2.10
2.20
Total goals
3.20
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Nott'm Forest attack
1.20goals per matchStoke conceded2.10Matchup
Stoke attack
1.10goals per matchNott'm Forest conceded1.00Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.50
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.80
2H goals scored
0.60
0.20
2H goals conceded
1.30
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.40N=10
Corners for
4.10N=10
5.40
Corners against
5.00
11.80
Match total
9.10
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.70N=10
For
1.80N=10
3.90
Match total
3.70
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.60N=10
Committed
13.30N=10
24.10
Match total
24.00
Shots
14.10N=10
Shots
9.30N=10
3.80
On target
2.60
9%
Conversion
12%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches173
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home43.7%45.1%+1.4 pp
Draw28.9%27.7%-1.2 pp
Away27.4%27.2%-0.2 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.572.8%
Over 2.545.1%
Over 3.523.7%
BTTS52.6%
Historical average
1.40–1.15
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-113.9%
1-013.3%
2-110.4%
2-08.7%
0-08.7%
Comparable corner averages
5.42–4.36
Average total9.78
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=173.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.563.6%
Over 9.550.9%
Over 10.541.0%
Over 11.530.6%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches55
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT41.8%29.7%–55.0% CI
Draw FT36.4%24.9%–49.6% CI
Away FT21.8%12.9%–34.4% CI
Remaining goals
1.25
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal72.7%
2+ goals32.7%
3+ goals14.5%
Who scores in 2H
Home56.4%
Away38.2%