Championship · 2019/20
2020-07-22 · 19:30
12.7035.0%
X3.2329.2%
22.6435.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Birmingham
LDWDDLDLLD
1W 5D 4L · 0.80 PPM
Derby
DLWLLWWWLL
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
1.80
2.20
Conceded
1.90
70%
Over 2.5
80%
90%
BTTS
80%

By half

1.80
1H goals
1.50
1.90
2H goals
2.20
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.90N=10
For
3.50N=10
4.90
Against
6.40
9.80
Total
9.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

very strongBoth teams scored

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
1.80
2.20
Goals conceded
1.90
3.70
Total goals
3.70
100%10/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10
90%9/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Birmingham attack

1.50goals per match
Derby conceded1.90
Matchup

Derby attack

1.80goals per match
Birmingham conceded2.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.80
1.00
1H goals conceded
0.70
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.70
2H goals scored
1.00
1.20
2H goals conceded
1.20
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.90N=10
Corners for
3.50N=10
4.90
Corners against
6.40
9.80
Match total
9.90
60%6/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.50N=10
For
1.90N=10
3.50
Match total
2.80
50%5/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

13.80N=10
Committed
11.70N=10
24.70
Match total
21.80

Shots

14.70N=10
Shots
10.10N=10
4.20
On target
3.40
10%
Conversion
18%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches87
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home35.0%39.1%+4.1 pp
Draw29.2%25.3%-4.0 pp
Away35.8%35.6%-0.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.578.2%
Over 2.559.8%
Over 3.528.7%
BTTS63.2%

Historical average

1.431.37

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.8%
2-112.6%
1-211.5%
1-09.2%
0-18.0%

Comparable corner averages

5.474.99
Average total10.46

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=87.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.571.3%
Over 9.558.6%
Over 10.549.4%
Over 11.539.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches29
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT37.9%22.7%–56.0% CI
Draw FT27.6%14.7%–45.7% CI
Away FT34.5%19.9%–52.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.79

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal86.2%
2+ goals51.7%
3+ goals31.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home58.6%
Away69.0%