Championship · 2019/20
2020-07-19 · 14:00
14.3321.8%
X3.7825.0%
21.7853.1%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Derby
WWWWDDWWDL
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM
Leeds
WDLLDWWLWW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Goals
1.80
Scored
1.60
0.90
Conceded
1.20
60%
Over 2.5
30%
70%
BTTS
40%
By half
1.10
1H goals
1.30
1.60
2H goals
1.50
100%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
4.70N=10
For
8.50N=10
5.00
Against
4.10
9.70
Total
12.60
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
1.60
0.90
Goals conceded
1.20
2.70
Total goals
2.80
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Derby attack
1.80goals per matchLeeds conceded1.20Matchup
Leeds attack
1.60goals per matchDerby conceded0.90Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.70
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.90
2H goals scored
0.90
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.70N=10
Corners for
8.50N=10
5.00
Corners against
4.10
9.70
Match total
12.60
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.50N=10
For
2.20N=10
3.00
Match total
4.60
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.80N=10
Committed
12.40N=10
22.90
Match total
26.20
Shots
12.10N=10
Shots
13.50N=10
5.50
On target
4.50
15%
Conversion
12%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches20
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home21.8%10.0%-11.8 pp
Draw25.0%40.0%+15.0 pp
Away53.1%50.0%-3.1 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.575.0%
Over 2.550.0%
Over 3.545.0%
BTTS60.0%
Historical average
1.20–1.70
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-220.0%
0-115.0%
1-310.0%
1-110.0%
0-010.0%
Comparable corner averages
4.20–6.50
Average total10.70
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=20.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.570.0%
Over 9.560.0%
Over 10.540.0%
Over 11.540.0%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches21
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT33.3%17.2%–54.6% CI
Draw FT28.6%13.8%–50.0% CI
Away FT38.1%20.8%–59.1% CI
Remaining goals
1.14
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal76.2%
2+ goals28.6%
3+ goals9.5%
Who scores in 2H
Home38.1%
Away47.6%