Championship · 2019/20
2020-07-19 · 14:00
14.3321.8%
X3.7825.0%
21.7853.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Derby
WWWWDDWWDL
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM
Leeds
WDLLDWWLWW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM

Goals

1.80
Scored
1.60
0.90
Conceded
1.20
60%
Over 2.5
30%
70%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.30
1.60
2H goals
1.50
100%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.70N=10
For
8.50N=10
5.00
Against
4.10
9.70
Total
12.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
1.60
0.90
Goals conceded
1.20
2.70
Total goals
2.80
90%9/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Derby attack

1.80goals per match
Leeds conceded1.20
Matchup

Leeds attack

1.60goals per match
Derby conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.70
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.60
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.90
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.60
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.70N=10
Corners for
8.50N=10
5.00
Corners against
4.10
9.70
Match total
12.60
70%7/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
90%9/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.50N=10
For
2.20N=10
3.00
Match total
4.60
40%4/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

10.80N=10
Committed
12.40N=10
22.90
Match total
26.20

Shots

12.10N=10
Shots
13.50N=10
5.50
On target
4.50
15%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches20
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home21.8%10.0%-11.8 pp
Draw25.0%40.0%+15.0 pp
Away53.1%50.0%-3.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.575.0%
Over 2.550.0%
Over 3.545.0%
BTTS60.0%

Historical average

1.201.70

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-220.0%
0-115.0%
1-310.0%
1-110.0%
0-010.0%

Comparable corner averages

4.206.50
Average total10.70

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=20.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.570.0%
Over 9.560.0%
Over 10.540.0%
Over 11.540.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches21
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT33.3%17.2%–54.6% CI
Draw FT28.6%13.8%–50.0% CI
Away FT38.1%20.8%–59.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.14

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal76.2%
2+ goals28.6%
3+ goals9.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home38.1%
Away47.6%