Championship · 2019/20
2020-07-18 · 15:00
13.5626.6%
X3.4427.5%
22.0645.9%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
QPR
LWWLWWDLLL
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM
Millwall
DDLDWLWDWW
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Goals
1.70
Scored
0.90
1.50
Conceded
0.50
70%
Over 2.5
20%
60%
BTTS
20%
By half
1.90
1H goals
0.60
1.30
2H goals
0.80
70%
Goal in 2H
50%
Corners
5.80N=10
For
5.50N=10
5.90
Against
5.00
11.70
Total
10.50
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongOver 8.5 corners
8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
0.90
1.50
Goals conceded
0.50
3.20
Total goals
1.40
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
QPR attack
1.70goals per matchMillwall conceded0.50Matchup
Millwall attack
0.90goals per matchQPR conceded1.50Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.60
1.00
1H goals conceded
0.00
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.80
2H goals scored
0.30
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.80N=10
Corners for
5.50N=10
5.90
Corners against
5.00
11.70
Match total
10.50
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.60N=10
For
1.40N=10
3.10
Match total
3.30
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.70N=10
Committed
11.20N=10
23.00
Match total
23.20
Shots
12.20N=10
Shots
10.10N=10
4.00
On target
3.10
14%
Conversion
9%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches36
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home26.6%22.2%-4.4 pp
Draw27.5%36.1%+8.6 pp
Away45.9%41.7%-4.3 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.569.4%
Over 2.538.9%
Over 3.522.2%
BTTS47.2%
Historical average
0.94–1.44
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-119.4%
0-013.9%
1-08.3%
0-28.3%
0-38.3%
Comparable corner averages
4.42–5.08
Average total9.50
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=36.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.555.6%
Over 9.544.4%
Over 10.538.9%
Over 11.530.6%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches13
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT7.7%1.4%–33.3% CI
Draw FT69.2%42.4%–87.3% CI
Away FT23.1%8.2%–50.3% CI
Remaining goals
1.46
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal61.5%
2+ goals53.8%
3+ goals7.7%
Who scores in 2H
Home38.5%
Away61.5%