Championship · 2019/20
2020-07-18 · 15:00
12.0047.3%
X3.3628.2%
23.8624.5%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Preston
LLWDLWLLLD
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM
Birmingham
DWDWWDDDLL
3W 5D 2L · 1.40 PPM
Goals
0.80
Scored
1.00
1.60
Conceded
0.90
40%
Over 2.5
30%
60%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.20
1H goals
0.80
1.20
2H goals
1.10
60%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
4.90N=10
For
4.00N=10
3.90
Against
7.30
8.80
Total
11.30
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
1.00
1.60
Goals conceded
0.90
2.40
Total goals
1.90
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Preston attack
0.80goals per matchBirmingham conceded0.90Matchup
Birmingham attack
1.00goals per matchPreston conceded1.60Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.50
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.30
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.40
2H goals scored
0.50
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.90N=10
Corners for
4.00N=10
3.90
Corners against
7.30
8.80
Match total
11.30
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.10N=10
For
1.90N=10
2.20
Match total
2.90
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.60N=10
Committed
14.30N=10
21.40
Match total
23.70
Shots
12.60N=10
Shots
9.50N=10
3.20
On target
2.80
6%
Conversion
11%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches140
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home47.3%45.0%-2.3 pp
Draw28.2%31.4%+3.3 pp
Away24.5%23.6%-0.9 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.575.7%
Over 2.551.4%
Over 3.526.4%
BTTS61.4%
Historical average
1.55–1.11
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-114.3%
2-113.6%
1-010.7%
0-08.6%
2-28.6%
Comparable corner averages
5.18–4.89
Average total10.07
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=140.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.558.6%
Over 9.547.9%
Over 10.540.7%
Over 11.534.3%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches44
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT40.9%27.7%–55.6% CI
Draw FT38.6%25.7%–53.4% CI
Away FT20.5%11.2%–34.5% CI
Remaining goals
1.34
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal72.7%
2+ goals38.6%
3+ goals20.5%
Who scores in 2H
Home59.1%
Away43.2%