Championship · 2019/20
2020-07-18 · 15:00
12.7634.2%
X3.1330.2%
22.6535.6%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Middlesbrough
WDDDLLDLLL
1W 4D 5L · 0.70 PPM
Cardiff
WLDWWLWWWL
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM
Goals
0.80
Scored
1.40
1.50
Conceded
1.30
40%
Over 2.5
40%
50%
BTTS
40%
By half
1.40
1H goals
1.10
0.90
2H goals
1.60
50%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
6.60N=10
For
5.80N=10
5.30
Against
4.70
11.90
Total
10.50
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongOver 8.5 corners
8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
1.40
1.50
Goals conceded
1.30
2.30
Total goals
2.70
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Middlesbrough attack
0.80goals per matchCardiff conceded1.30Matchup
Cardiff attack
1.40goals per matchMiddlesbrough conceded1.50Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.40
1.00
1H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.40
2H goals scored
1.00
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.60N=10
Corners for
5.80N=10
5.30
Corners against
4.70
11.90
Match total
10.50
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.50N=10
For
1.30N=10
3.00
Match total
2.40
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.10N=10
Committed
11.50N=10
23.60
Match total
22.10
Shots
14.40N=10
Shots
11.50N=10
3.10
On target
3.40
6%
Conversion
12%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches138
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home34.2%29.0%-5.2 pp
Draw30.2%34.8%+4.6 pp
Away35.6%36.2%+0.6 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.566.7%
Over 2.539.1%
Over 3.521.0%
BTTS49.3%
Historical average
1.07–1.21
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-115.2%
0-114.5%
2-19.4%
0-09.4%
2-29.4%
Comparable corner averages
4.83–4.78
Average total9.60
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=138.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.558.7%
Over 9.547.8%
Over 10.532.6%
Over 11.523.9%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches51
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT27.5%17.1%–40.9% CI
Draw FT39.2%27.0%–52.9% CI
Away FT33.3%22.0%–47.0% CI
Remaining goals
1.33
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal74.5%
2+ goals37.3%
3+ goals15.7%
Who scores in 2H
Home45.1%
Away54.9%