Championship · 2019/20
2020-07-18 · 15:00
12.7634.2%
X3.1330.2%
22.6535.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Middlesbrough
WDDDLLDLLL
1W 4D 5L · 0.70 PPM
Cardiff
WLDWWLWWWL
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM

Goals

0.80
Scored
1.40
1.50
Conceded
1.30
40%
Over 2.5
40%
50%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.10
0.90
2H goals
1.60
50%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.60N=10
For
5.80N=10
5.30
Against
4.70
11.90
Total
10.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
1.40
1.50
Goals conceded
1.30
2.30
Total goals
2.70
60%6/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Middlesbrough attack

0.80goals per match
Cardiff conceded1.30
Matchup

Cardiff attack

1.40goals per match
Middlesbrough conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.40
1.00
1H goals conceded
0.70
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.40
2H goals scored
1.00
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.60
50%5/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.60N=10
Corners for
5.80N=10
5.30
Corners against
4.70
11.90
Match total
10.50
80%8/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
80%8/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.50N=10
For
1.30N=10
3.00
Match total
2.40
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10

Fouls

12.10N=10
Committed
11.50N=10
23.60
Match total
22.10

Shots

14.40N=10
Shots
11.50N=10
3.10
On target
3.40
6%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches138
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home34.2%29.0%-5.2 pp
Draw30.2%34.8%+4.6 pp
Away35.6%36.2%+0.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.566.7%
Over 2.539.1%
Over 3.521.0%
BTTS49.3%

Historical average

1.071.21

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.2%
0-114.5%
2-19.4%
0-09.4%
2-29.4%

Comparable corner averages

4.834.78
Average total9.60

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=138.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.558.7%
Over 9.547.8%
Over 10.532.6%
Over 11.523.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches51
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT27.5%17.1%–40.9% CI
Draw FT39.2%27.0%–52.9% CI
Away FT33.3%22.0%–47.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.33

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal74.5%
2+ goals37.3%
3+ goals15.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home45.1%
Away54.9%