Championship · 2019/20
2020-07-15 · 17:00
12.8932.7%
X3.1230.3%
22.5537.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Bristol City
WLWLWLDLLW
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM
Stoke
LWWLLDDDLL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
1.00
1.70
Conceded
2.10
70%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.30
1.60
2H goals
1.80
100%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.80N=10
For
4.20N=10
5.90
Against
5.10
10.70
Total
9.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.00
1.70
Goals conceded
2.10
2.90
Total goals
3.10
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Bristol City attack

1.20goals per match
Stoke conceded2.10
Matchup

Stoke attack

1.00goals per match
Bristol City conceded1.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.50
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.80
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.50
1.00
2H goals conceded
1.30
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.80N=10
Corners for
4.20N=10
5.90
Corners against
5.10
10.70
Match total
9.30
90%9/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.00N=10
For
2.10N=10
2.70
Match total
4.10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

10.00N=10
Committed
13.80N=10
24.30
Match total
24.60

Shots

10.70N=10
Shots
9.40N=10
3.80
On target
2.90
11%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches68
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home32.7%33.8%+1.1 pp
Draw30.3%33.8%+3.5 pp
Away37.0%32.4%-4.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.569.1%
Over 2.541.2%
Over 3.519.1%
BTTS54.4%

Historical average

1.221.13

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-116.2%
0-114.7%
2-113.2%
0-08.8%
2-27.4%

Comparable corner averages

4.904.94
Average total9.84

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=68.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.557.4%
Over 9.552.9%
Over 10.538.2%
Over 11.529.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches24
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT25.0%12.0%–44.9% CI
Draw FT41.7%24.5%–61.2% CI
Away FT33.3%18.0%–53.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.38

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal75.0%
2+ goals41.7%
3+ goals16.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home45.8%
Away58.3%