Championship · 2019/20
2020-07-14 · 19:45
12.3440.6%
X3.4427.6%
22.9831.8%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Luton
DLWLWWDDLD
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
QPR
LLLLDDWLWL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM
Goals
1.30
Scored
0.60
1.70
Conceded
1.10
50%
Over 2.5
30%
70%
BTTS
30%
By half
1.20
1H goals
1.00
1.80
2H goals
0.70
90%
Goal in 2H
40%
Corners
4.80N=10
For
2.80N=10
6.40
Against
7.20
11.20
Total
10.00
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
0.60
1.70
Goals conceded
1.10
3.00
Total goals
1.70
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Luton attack
1.30goals per matchQPR conceded1.10Matchup
QPR attack
0.60goals per matchLuton conceded1.70Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.20
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.70
2H goals scored
0.40
1.10
2H goals conceded
0.30
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.80N=10
Corners for
2.80N=10
6.40
Corners against
7.20
11.20
Match total
10.00
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.30N=10
For
1.70N=10
2.70
Match total
2.80
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.30N=10
Committed
13.20N=10
23.40
Match total
25.40
Shots
8.60N=10
Shots
9.10N=10
2.90
On target
3.00
15%
Conversion
7%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches108
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home40.6%40.7%+0.2 pp
Draw27.6%29.6%+2.0 pp
Away31.8%29.6%-2.2 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.577.8%
Over 2.552.8%
Over 3.529.6%
BTTS56.5%
Historical average
1.47–1.21
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-113.9%
1-210.2%
0-09.3%
2-19.3%
2-08.3%
Comparable corner averages
6.09–4.61
Average total10.70
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=108.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.575.0%
Over 9.561.1%
Over 10.550.0%
Over 11.540.7%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches29
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT24.1%12.2%–42.1% CI
Draw FT48.3%31.4%–65.6% CI
Away FT27.6%14.7%–45.7% CI
Remaining goals
1.31
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal65.5%
2+ goals44.8%
3+ goals17.2%
Who scores in 2H
Home44.8%
Away48.3%