Championship · 2019/20
2020-07-14 · 18:00
13.1030.6%
X3.2129.5%
22.3839.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Reading
WDLDLLWDLD
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM
Middlesbrough
WWLLDLWWLW
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM

Goals

0.70
Scored
1.40
1.20
Conceded
0.90
30%
Over 2.5
30%
40%
BTTS
30%

By half

0.60
1H goals
0.90
1.30
2H goals
1.40
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.60N=10
For
5.80N=10
5.10
Against
4.80
10.70
Total
10.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.70
Goals scored
1.40
1.20
Goals conceded
0.90
1.90
Total goals
2.30
70%7/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
0%0/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Reading attack

0.70goals per match
Middlesbrough conceded0.90
Matchup

Middlesbrough attack

1.40goals per match
Reading conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.50
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.40
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.40
2H goals scored
0.90
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.50
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.60N=10
Corners for
5.80N=10
5.10
Corners against
4.80
10.70
Match total
10.60
70%7/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.40N=10
For
1.60N=10
3.20
Match total
3.20
60%6/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

10.90N=10
Committed
12.70N=10
24.10
Match total
24.60

Shots

11.20N=10
Shots
11.70N=10
3.20
On target
3.50
6%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches96
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home30.6%33.3%+2.7 pp
Draw29.5%27.1%-2.5 pp
Away39.9%39.6%-0.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.565.6%
Over 2.539.6%
Over 3.519.8%
BTTS43.8%

Historical average

1.051.31

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-115.6%
1-112.5%
0-09.4%
1-09.4%
1-28.3%

Comparable corner averages

4.705.50
Average total10.20

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=96.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.5%
Over 9.549.0%
Over 10.537.5%
Over 11.532.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches27
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT25.9%13.2%–44.7% CI
Draw FT37.0%21.5%–55.8% CI
Away FT37.0%21.5%–55.8% CI

Remaining goals

0.93

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal66.7%
2+ goals18.5%
3+ goals7.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home33.3%
Away44.4%