Championship · 2019/20
2020-07-12 · 13:30
14.7120.1%
X3.8124.9%
21.7255.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Swansea
WDWWLDWDLW
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Leeds
LWDLLDWWLW
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
1.60
0.80
Conceded
1.40
50%
Over 2.5
40%
50%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.60
1H goals
1.40
1.50
2H goals
1.60
60%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.20N=10
For
8.50N=10
4.30
Against
3.90
9.50
Total
12.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.60
0.80
Goals conceded
1.40
2.10
Total goals
3.00
50%5/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Swansea attack

1.30goals per match
Leeds conceded1.40
Matchup

Leeds attack

1.60goals per match
Swansea conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.70
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.70
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
100%10/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.90
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.70
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.20N=10
Corners for
8.50N=10
4.30
Corners against
3.90
9.50
Match total
12.40
60%6/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
90%9/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.20N=10
For
2.30N=10
3.40
Match total
4.80
40%4/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

11.40N=10
Committed
12.00N=10
26.50
Match total
26.10

Shots

11.30N=10
Shots
13.80N=10
4.00
On target
4.80
12%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches30
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home20.1%13.3%-6.8 pp
Draw24.9%36.7%+11.8 pp
Away55.0%50.0%-5.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.580.0%
Over 2.546.7%
Over 3.530.0%
BTTS50.0%

Historical average

1.001.60

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-216.7%
0-216.7%
0-113.3%
1-113.3%
0-36.7%

Comparable corner averages

3.976.57
Average total10.53

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=30.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.570.0%
Over 9.560.0%
Over 10.543.3%
Over 11.543.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches18
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT16.7%5.8%–39.2% CI
Draw FT38.9%20.3%–61.4% CI
Away FT44.4%24.6%–66.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.17

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal72.2%
2+ goals38.9%
3+ goals5.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home33.3%
Away55.6%