Championship · 2019/20
2020-07-12 · 13:30
11.9847.8%
X3.2629.0%
24.0823.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Stoke
DWDWWLWWLW
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Birmingham
LDWDWWDDDL
3W 5D 2L · 1.40 PPM

Goals

1.90
Scored
1.00
0.80
Conceded
1.00
40%
Over 2.5
40%
30%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.10
1H goals
0.70
1.60
2H goals
1.30
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.20N=10
For
3.90N=10
4.80
Against
7.40
10.00
Total
11.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.90
Goals scored
1.00
0.80
Goals conceded
1.00
2.70
Total goals
2.00
80%8/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
30%3/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Stoke attack

1.90goals per match
Birmingham conceded1.00
Matchup

Birmingham attack

1.00goals per match
Stoke conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.50
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.20
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.50
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.20N=10
Corners for
3.90N=10
4.80
Corners against
7.40
10.00
Match total
11.30
80%8/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

0.80N=10
For
1.70N=10
2.70
Match total
2.80
30%3/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

11.70N=10
Committed
14.00N=10
25.50
Match total
22.80

Shots

14.20N=10
Shots
10.00N=10
5.10
On target
2.90
13%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches143
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home47.8%50.3%+2.6 pp
Draw29.0%25.9%-3.1 pp
Away23.2%23.8%+0.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.567.8%
Over 2.542.0%
Over 3.522.4%
BTTS49.0%

Historical average

1.440.97

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.7%
1-014.7%
2-19.8%
0-09.1%
2-08.4%

Comparable corner averages

5.844.12
Average total9.96

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=143.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.5%
Over 9.550.3%
Over 10.540.6%
Over 11.532.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches44
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT40.9%27.7%–55.6% CI
Draw FT40.9%27.7%–55.6% CI
Away FT18.2%9.5%–32.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.11

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal70.5%
2+ goals31.8%
3+ goals9.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home54.5%
Away34.1%