Championship · 2019/20
2020-07-11 · 12:30
14.2222.4%
X3.6426.0%
21.8351.6%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Derby
LWWWWDDWWD
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM
Brentford
DLWDWDLDWW
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Goals
1.70
Scored
1.90
0.70
Conceded
0.80
50%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.00
1H goals
1.70
1.40
2H goals
1.00
90%
Goal in 2H
50%
Corners
5.00N=10
For
6.30N=10
5.00
Against
3.20
10.00
Total
9.50
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
1.90
0.70
Goals conceded
0.80
2.40
Total goals
2.70
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Derby attack
1.70goals per matchBrentford conceded0.80Matchup
Brentford attack
1.90goals per matchDerby conceded0.70Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.90
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.90
2H goals scored
1.00
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.00
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.00N=10
Corners for
6.30N=10
5.00
Corners against
3.20
10.00
Match total
9.50
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.60N=10
For
1.20N=10
3.20
Match total
2.90
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.20N=10
Committed
8.80N=10
23.30
Match total
19.20
Shots
12.30N=10
Shots
13.60N=10
5.30
On target
5.70
14%
Conversion
14%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches31
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home22.4%12.9%-9.5 pp
Draw26.0%12.9%-13.1 pp
Away51.6%74.2%+22.6 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.587.1%
Over 2.567.7%
Over 3.538.7%
BTTS61.3%
Historical average
1.06–2.10
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-219.4%
0-112.9%
0-29.7%
1-39.7%
2-39.7%
Comparable corner averages
4.97–5.32
Average total10.29
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=31.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.577.4%
Over 9.558.1%
Over 10.551.6%
Over 11.532.3%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches15
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT0.0%0.0%–20.4% CI
Draw FT53.3%30.1%–75.2% CI
Away FT46.7%24.8%–69.9% CI
Remaining goals
1.53
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal80.0%
2+ goals53.3%
3+ goals13.3%
Who scores in 2H
Home40.0%
Away80.0%