Championship · 2019/20
2020-07-11 · 12:30
14.2222.4%
X3.6426.0%
21.8351.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Derby
LWWWWDDWWD
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM
Brentford
DLWDWDLDWW
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM

Goals

1.70
Scored
1.90
0.70
Conceded
0.80
50%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.70
1.40
2H goals
1.00
90%
Goal in 2H
50%

Corners

5.00N=10
For
6.30N=10
5.00
Against
3.20
10.00
Total
9.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
1.90
0.70
Goals conceded
0.80
2.40
Total goals
2.70
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Derby attack

1.70goals per match
Brentford conceded0.80
Matchup

Brentford attack

1.90goals per match
Derby conceded0.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.90
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.80
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.90
2H goals scored
1.00
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.00
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
50%5/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.00N=10
Corners for
6.30N=10
5.00
Corners against
3.20
10.00
Match total
9.50
70%7/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
90%9/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.60N=10
For
1.20N=10
3.20
Match total
2.90
40%4/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

11.20N=10
Committed
8.80N=10
23.30
Match total
19.20

Shots

12.30N=10
Shots
13.60N=10
5.30
On target
5.70
14%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches31
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home22.4%12.9%-9.5 pp
Draw26.0%12.9%-13.1 pp
Away51.6%74.2%+22.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.587.1%
Over 2.567.7%
Over 3.538.7%
BTTS61.3%

Historical average

1.062.10

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-219.4%
0-112.9%
0-29.7%
1-39.7%
2-39.7%

Comparable corner averages

4.975.32
Average total10.29

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=31.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.577.4%
Over 9.558.1%
Over 10.551.6%
Over 11.532.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches15
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT0.0%0.0%–20.4% CI
Draw FT53.3%30.1%–75.2% CI
Away FT46.7%24.8%–69.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.53

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal80.0%
2+ goals53.3%
3+ goals13.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home40.0%
Away80.0%