Championship · 2019/20
2020-07-09 · 17:00
11.4864.0%
X4.2222.4%
26.9713.6%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Leeds
DDLWLWWWWD
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Stoke
LLWWLLDDDL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Goals
1.50
Scored
1.10
1.00
Conceded
1.80
30%
Over 2.5
50%
40%
BTTS
50%
By half
0.80
1H goals
1.20
1.70
2H goals
1.70
90%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
9.20N=10
For
4.10N=10
3.20
Against
4.80
12.40
Total
8.90
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
1.10
1.00
Goals conceded
1.80
2.50
Total goals
2.90
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Leeds attack
1.50goals per matchStoke conceded1.80Matchup
Stoke attack
1.10goals per matchLeeds conceded1.00Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.50
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.00
2H goals scored
0.60
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.10
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
9.20N=10
Corners for
4.10N=10
3.20
Corners against
4.80
12.40
Match total
8.90
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.50N=10
For
2.30N=10
3.90
Match total
4.30
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.90N=10
Committed
14.50N=10
25.60
Match total
26.00
Shots
19.00N=10
Shots
10.10N=10
6.30
On target
3.20
8%
Conversion
11%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches24
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home64.0%70.8%+6.9 pp
Draw22.4%16.7%-5.8 pp
Away13.6%12.5%-1.1 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.562.5%
Over 2.545.8%
Over 3.529.2%
BTTS41.7%
Historical average
1.96–0.63
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-029.2%
3-012.5%
1-112.5%
4-18.3%
3-24.2%
Comparable corner averages
6.54–3.17
Average total9.71
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=24.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.562.5%
Over 9.541.7%
Over 10.537.5%
Over 11.520.8%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT60.0%31.3%–83.2% CI
Draw FT30.0%10.8%–60.3% CI
Away FT10.0%1.8%–40.4% CI
Remaining goals
1.10
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal80.0%
2+ goals20.0%
3+ goals10.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home70.0%
Away20.0%