Championship · 2019/20
2020-07-09 · 17:00
11.4864.0%
X4.2222.4%
26.9713.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Leeds
DDLWLWWWWD
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Stoke
LLWWLLDDDL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
1.10
1.00
Conceded
1.80
30%
Over 2.5
50%
40%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.80
1H goals
1.20
1.70
2H goals
1.70
90%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

9.20N=10
For
4.10N=10
3.20
Against
4.80
12.40
Total
8.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
1.10
1.00
Goals conceded
1.80
2.50
Total goals
2.90
70%7/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Leeds attack

1.50goals per match
Stoke conceded1.80
Matchup

Stoke attack

1.10goals per match
Leeds conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.50
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.70
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.60
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.10
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
9.20N=10
Corners for
4.10N=10
3.20
Corners against
4.80
12.40
Match total
8.90
80%8/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.50N=10
For
2.30N=10
3.90
Match total
4.30
50%5/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

10.90N=10
Committed
14.50N=10
25.60
Match total
26.00

Shots

19.00N=10
Shots
10.10N=10
6.30
On target
3.20
8%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches24
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home64.0%70.8%+6.9 pp
Draw22.4%16.7%-5.8 pp
Away13.6%12.5%-1.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.562.5%
Over 2.545.8%
Over 3.529.2%
BTTS41.7%

Historical average

1.960.63

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-029.2%
3-012.5%
1-112.5%
4-18.3%
3-24.2%

Comparable corner averages

6.543.17
Average total9.71

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=24.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.5%
Over 9.541.7%
Over 10.537.5%
Over 11.520.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT60.0%31.3%–83.2% CI
Draw FT30.0%10.8%–60.3% CI
Away FT10.0%1.8%–40.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.10

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal80.0%
2+ goals20.0%
3+ goals10.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home70.0%
Away20.0%