Championship · 2019/20
2020-07-08 · 15:00
12.2641.8%
X3.1829.7%
23.3228.5%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Millwall
LWWWLDDDLD
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Middlesbrough
LWWLLDLWWL
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM
Goals
1.20
Scored
1.30
1.10
Conceded
1.20
30%
Over 2.5
40%
60%
BTTS
40%
By half
1.00
1H goals
1.00
1.30
2H goals
1.50
70%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
7.20N=10
For
6.20N=10
3.90
Against
4.60
11.10
Total
10.80
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
very strongOver 8.5 corners
8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.30
1.10
Goals conceded
1.20
2.30
Total goals
2.50
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Millwall attack
1.20goals per matchMiddlesbrough conceded1.20Matchup
Middlesbrough attack
1.30goals per matchMillwall conceded1.10Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.50
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.80
2H goals scored
0.80
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
7.20N=10
Corners for
6.20N=10
3.90
Corners against
4.60
11.10
Match total
10.80
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.30N=10
For
1.40N=10
2.80
Match total
3.10
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.70N=10
Committed
13.40N=10
22.50
Match total
25.50
Shots
13.40N=10
Shots
11.80N=10
3.60
On target
3.50
9%
Conversion
11%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches131
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home41.8%41.2%-0.6 pp
Draw29.7%37.4%+7.7 pp
Away28.5%21.4%-7.1 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.562.6%
Over 2.532.8%
Over 3.521.4%
BTTS45.8%
Historical average
1.24–0.91
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-116.8%
0-015.3%
1-014.5%
2-08.4%
0-17.6%
Comparable corner averages
5.16–4.37
Average total9.53
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=131.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.559.5%
Over 9.545.0%
Over 10.535.9%
Over 11.522.9%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches58
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT32.8%22.1%–45.6% CI
Draw FT50.0%37.5%–62.5% CI
Away FT17.2%9.6%–28.9% CI
Remaining goals
1.09
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal65.5%
2+ goals29.3%
3+ goals6.9%
Who scores in 2H
Home51.7%
Away34.5%