Championship · 2019/20
2020-07-08 · 15:00
12.2641.8%
X3.1829.7%
23.3228.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Millwall
LWWWLDDDLD
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Middlesbrough
LWWLLDLWWL
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
1.30
1.10
Conceded
1.20
30%
Over 2.5
40%
60%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.00
1.30
2H goals
1.50
70%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

7.20N=10
For
6.20N=10
3.90
Against
4.60
11.10
Total
10.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.30
1.10
Goals conceded
1.20
2.30
Total goals
2.50
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Millwall attack

1.20goals per match
Middlesbrough conceded1.20
Matchup

Middlesbrough attack

1.30goals per match
Millwall conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.50
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.50
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.80
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.70
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.20N=10
Corners for
6.20N=10
3.90
Corners against
4.60
11.10
Match total
10.80
80%8/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.30N=10
For
1.40N=10
2.80
Match total
3.10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10

Fouls

10.70N=10
Committed
13.40N=10
22.50
Match total
25.50

Shots

13.40N=10
Shots
11.80N=10
3.60
On target
3.50
9%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches131
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home41.8%41.2%-0.6 pp
Draw29.7%37.4%+7.7 pp
Away28.5%21.4%-7.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.562.6%
Over 2.532.8%
Over 3.521.4%
BTTS45.8%

Historical average

1.240.91

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-116.8%
0-015.3%
1-014.5%
2-08.4%
0-17.6%

Comparable corner averages

5.164.37
Average total9.53

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=131.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.559.5%
Over 9.545.0%
Over 10.535.9%
Over 11.522.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches58
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT32.8%22.1%–45.6% CI
Draw FT50.0%37.5%–62.5% CI
Away FT17.2%9.6%–28.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.09

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal65.5%
2+ goals29.3%
3+ goals6.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home51.7%
Away34.5%