Championship · 2019/20
2020-07-07 · 18:00
12.9332.3%
X3.2729.0%
22.4538.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Luton
LDLWLWWDDL
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Barnsley
WDLLLWWLWL
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
0.90
1.70
Conceded
1.20
50%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.10
1.80
2H goals
1.00
90%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.90N=10
For
4.80N=10
6.10
Against
5.90
11.00
Total
10.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
0.90
1.70
Goals conceded
1.20
2.90
Total goals
2.10
70%7/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
60%6/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Luton attack

1.20goals per match
Barnsley conceded1.20
Matchup

Barnsley attack

0.90goals per match
Luton conceded1.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.40
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.70
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.50
1.10
2H goals conceded
0.50
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.90N=10
Corners for
4.80N=10
6.10
Corners against
5.90
11.00
Match total
10.70
80%8/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.00N=10
For
2.00N=10
2.40
Match total
3.10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

9.70N=10
Committed
14.60N=10
22.60
Match total
25.20

Shots

9.00N=10
Shots
14.50N=10
2.50
On target
4.30
13%
Conversion
6%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches60
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home32.3%35.0%+2.7 pp
Draw29.0%21.7%-7.3 pp
Away38.7%43.3%+4.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.563.3%
Over 2.540.0%
Over 3.525.0%
BTTS50.0%

Historical average

1.171.27

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-116.7%
1-015.0%
1-110.0%
1-28.3%
2-16.7%

Comparable corner averages

5.575.27
Average total10.83

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=60.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.576.7%
Over 9.560.0%
Over 10.548.3%
Over 11.538.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches18
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT50.0%29.0%–71.0% CI
Draw FT22.2%9.0%–45.2% CI
Away FT27.8%12.5%–50.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.22

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal83.3%
2+ goals16.7%
3+ goals11.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home55.6%
Away44.4%