Championship · 2019/20
2020-07-04 · 15:00
12.5736.8%
X3.2229.4%
22.8033.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Luton
WLDLWLWWDD
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Reading
DWWLDDWLWL
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
1.30
1.30
Conceded
0.90
50%
Over 2.5
40%
70%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.90
1H goals
0.80
1.80
2H goals
1.40
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.30N=10
For
3.30N=10
6.10
Against
6.00
11.40
Total
9.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.30
1.30
Goals conceded
0.90
2.70
Total goals
2.20
70%7/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
70%7/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Luton attack

1.40goals per match
Reading conceded0.90
Matchup

Reading attack

1.30goals per match
Luton conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.50
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.30
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.80
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.60
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.30N=10
Corners for
3.30N=10
6.10
Corners against
6.00
11.40
Match total
9.30
90%9/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
90%9/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.10N=10
For
1.80N=10
2.60
Match total
3.30
30%3/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

9.50N=10
Committed
10.30N=10
22.90
Match total
24.20

Shots

10.30N=10
Shots
9.20N=10
2.90
On target
2.70
14%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches155
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home36.8%26.5%-10.4 pp
Draw29.4%40.0%+10.6 pp
Away33.8%33.5%-0.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.571.0%
Over 2.542.6%
Over 3.525.2%
BTTS54.2%

Historical average

1.161.21

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-118.1%
0-113.5%
0-011.6%
2-29.7%
2-06.5%

Comparable corner averages

5.304.55
Average total9.85

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=155.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.2%
Over 9.547.1%
Over 10.536.8%
Over 11.528.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches57
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT17.5%9.8%–29.4% CI
Draw FT49.1%36.6%–61.7% CI
Away FT33.3%22.5%–46.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.26

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal68.4%
2+ goals40.4%
3+ goals10.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home40.4%
Away52.6%