Championship · 2019/20
2020-07-04 · 15:00
13.2229.4%
X3.3428.3%
22.2442.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Bristol City
LLWLWLWLDL
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM
Cardiff
LDWLDWWLWW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
1.70
1.90
Conceded
1.60
70%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.30
1.60
2H goals
2.00
100%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.10N=10
For
6.10N=10
5.60
Against
5.90
10.70
Total
12.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.70
1.90
Goals conceded
1.60
3.00
Total goals
3.30
90%9/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Bristol City attack

1.10goals per match
Cardiff conceded1.60
Matchup

Cardiff attack

1.70goals per match
Bristol City conceded1.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.40
0.90
1H goals conceded
0.90
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.60
2H goals scored
1.30
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.70
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.10N=10
Corners for
6.10N=10
5.60
Corners against
5.90
10.70
Match total
12.00
90%9/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
80%8/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.00N=10
For
1.50N=10
2.60
Match total
2.50
30%3/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10

Fouls

10.30N=10
Committed
11.80N=10
24.40
Match total
21.50

Shots

10.30N=10
Shots
10.90N=10
3.70
On target
3.60
11%
Conversion
16%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches86
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home29.4%26.7%-2.7 pp
Draw28.3%29.1%+0.7 pp
Away42.3%44.2%+1.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.574.4%
Over 2.548.8%
Over 3.529.1%
BTTS52.3%

Historical average

1.121.60

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-112.8%
0-111.6%
0-29.3%
0-09.3%
2-17.0%

Comparable corner averages

4.445.13
Average total9.57

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=86.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.559.3%
Over 9.547.7%
Over 10.537.2%
Over 11.531.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches26
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT26.9%13.7%–46.1% CI
Draw FT38.5%22.4%–57.5% CI
Away FT34.6%19.4%–53.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.38

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal69.2%
2+ goals46.2%
3+ goals23.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home38.5%
Away57.7%