Championship · 2019/20
2020-07-04 · 12:30
12.4239.1%
X3.1829.8%
23.0531.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Derby
DLWWWWDDWW
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM
Nott'm Forest
DLWDWLDWDD
3W 5D 2L · 1.40 PPM

Goals

1.70
Scored
1.40
0.70
Conceded
1.20
50%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.10
1.40
2H goals
1.50
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.20N=10
For
5.30N=10
5.80
Against
6.90
11.00
Total
12.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
1.40
0.70
Goals conceded
1.20
2.40
Total goals
2.60
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Derby attack

1.70goals per match
Nott'm Forest conceded1.20
Matchup

Nott'm Forest attack

1.40goals per match
Derby conceded0.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.50
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.60
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.90
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.60
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.20N=10
Corners for
5.30N=10
5.80
Corners against
6.90
11.00
Match total
12.20
80%8/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
2.00N=10
3.40
Match total
4.00
40%4/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

11.20N=10
Committed
12.50N=10
24.00
Match total
24.20

Shots

12.40N=10
Shots
11.90N=10
5.20
On target
3.20
14%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches146
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home39.1%41.8%+2.6 pp
Draw29.8%34.2%+4.5 pp
Away31.1%24.0%-7.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.571.9%
Over 2.544.5%
Over 3.528.1%
BTTS56.8%

Historical average

1.371.21

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-118.5%
1-015.8%
2-110.3%
0-07.5%
2-26.2%

Comparable corner averages

5.205.01
Average total10.21

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=146.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.7%
Over 9.554.8%
Over 10.545.9%
Over 11.532.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches45
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT33.3%21.4%–47.9% CI
Draw FT48.9%35.0%–63.0% CI
Away FT17.8%9.3%–31.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.49

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal75.6%
2+ goals44.4%
3+ goals15.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home62.2%
Away48.9%