Championship · 2019/20
2020-07-03 · 20:15
13.4227.7%
X2.9532.1%
22.3540.3%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Charlton
LDWDDWLWLW
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Millwall
WWDDLDWLWD
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Goals
1.30
Scored
1.00
1.20
Conceded
0.60
50%
Over 2.5
30%
50%
BTTS
30%
By half
1.20
1H goals
0.70
1.30
2H goals
0.90
60%
Goal in 2H
50%
Corners
5.10N=10
For
4.90N=10
6.10
Against
5.90
11.20
Total
10.80
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongOver 8.5 corners
8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.00
1.20
Goals conceded
0.60
2.50
Total goals
1.60
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Charlton attack
1.30goals per matchMillwall conceded0.60Matchup
Millwall attack
1.00goals per matchCharlton conceded1.20Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.70
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.00
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.60
2H goals scored
0.30
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.10N=10
Corners for
4.90N=10
6.10
Corners against
5.90
11.20
Match total
10.80
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.70N=10
For
1.30N=10
3.80
Match total
2.80
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.50N=10
Committed
11.20N=10
22.80
Match total
21.80
Shots
9.00N=10
Shots
10.00N=10
3.30
On target
3.00
14%
Conversion
10%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches22
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home27.7%45.5%+17.8 pp
Draw32.1%18.2%-13.9 pp
Away40.3%36.4%-3.9 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.545.5%
Over 2.531.8%
Over 3.518.2%
BTTS27.3%
Historical average
1.05–0.95
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-027.3%
0-118.2%
0-09.1%
2-29.1%
2-09.1%
Comparable corner averages
3.59–5.09
Average total8.68
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=22.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.550.0%
Over 9.531.8%
Over 10.522.7%
Over 11.513.6%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT50.0%23.7%–76.3% CI
Draw FT20.0%5.7%–51.0% CI
Away FT30.0%10.8%–60.3% CI
Remaining goals
1.00
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal80.0%
2+ goals20.0%
3+ goals0.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home50.0%
Away30.0%